人名币汇率周报：欧洲央行开启降息，本周会迎来美联储降息吗？

6 11 I2024 10CPI 20111290 5ISM JOLTS ADP 104 5 PMI 5 7.20-7.30 PMI 9 Z0017101 1..........................................................................................1 1.1....................................................................................1 1.2.................................................................................4 1.2.1...................................................................................................4 1.2.2...................................................................................................6 1.2.3...................................................................................................6 2.................................................................................................7 2.1-........................................................................7 2.2.............................................................................7 2.2.1............................................................................................7 2.2.2............................................................................................8 2.2.3......................................................................................10 2.2.4.......................................................................................11 2.3.......................................................................................11 2.3.1........................................................................11 2.3.2....................................................................12 3........................................................................................13 3.1.......................................................................13 3.2..........................................................................................16 3.3................................................................18 .................................................................................................20 ........................................................................................................21 ……………………………………………………………………………….22 ................................................................................................................23 ............................................................................................................23 1.1.1 ..................................................................................................1 1.1.1 / 610..................................................................................................2 1.1.220246367.....3 1.1.3 .....................................................................3 1.2.1/610 ..........................................................................................................................5 2.1.1 ...............................................................................................7 2.2.1 ..........................................................7 2.2.2 ..............................................................7 2.2.3 ..........................................................8 2.2.4 ................................................................................9 2.2.5 % ............................................................10 2.2.6 ...................................................................10 2.2.7 NDF USDCNH ........................................................................11 2.2.8 USDCNY 25Delta %.........................11 2.3.1 .............................................12 2.3.2 .......................................................................12 2.3.3 .............................................12 2.3.4 .......................................................................12 3.3.1 2024.6.10-6.14 ................................18 1 .................................20 2 % ..................................................................21 3...................................................22 4Shibor%22 5SOFR %.............................................................................22 6%.................................................................................23 7....................................................................................23 1. ( BIS 7.1088 7.1108 7.1083 7.1106 0.025% USDCNY7.2440 7.2473 7.2426 7.2426 -0.019% USDCNH7.2553 7.2580 7.2540 7.2565 0.017% 157.1865 156.6122 154.8612 156.6122 -0.365% 1.0848 1.0890 1.0807 1.0807 -0.380% 1.2736 1.2793 1.2725 1.2725 -0.089% 104.6912 104.9343 104.0771 104.9343 0.232% CFETS99.79 —— —— 99.49 -0.301% 105.53 —— —— 105.24 -0.275% 94.31 —— —— 94.02 -0.307% 1.1 20246367 6716:30 CFETSBISSDR 1.1.1 ) ( SDR iFinD ) 25 5% 4.75% G7 7 25 pricein 2024 1.1.1 6 / 10 Bloomberg 5ISM JOLTS ADP 104 5 PMI 5 1.1.2202463 67 USDCNHUSDCNY Bloomberg 1.1.3 7.30 7.28 7.26 7.24 7.22 7.20 7.18 7.16 7.14 108.00 107.00 106.00 105.00 104.00 103.00 102.00 7.12 2024-02-092024-03