国债日报：情绪指标指向市场或已过热

1807D 20 160 7 230004 3 90% 0.25bp OMO7D 10 311.6% 3 TF TS 100.580 101.085 100.875 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 40,800 40,020 12,438 -47,014 -14,842 -13,004 183,817 103,774 61,868 769 213 271 101.50 101.00 合约走势 101.00 100.90 10,000.0000持仓变动 5,000.0000 100.50 100.00 99.50 99.00 2023/02/152023/03/012023/03/152023/03/29 100.80 100.70 100.60 100.50 0.0000 -5,000.0000 -10,000.0000 TFTTS(RHS) TSTFT 100,000.0000主力合约成交量 80,000.0000 60,000.0000 40,000.0000 20,000.0000 200,000.0000 160,000.0000 120,000.0000 80,000.0000 0.0000 40,000.0000 主力合约持仓量 80,000.0000 60,000.0000 40,000.0000 20,000.0000 0.00000.0000 TSTFT TFTTS(RHS) 2年期活跃券基差 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 101.5TS-TF跨品种价差 101.0 100.5 101.0 100.8 100.6 100.4 0.00 100.0 100.2 220028200005（RHS）价差（右）元TS2306.CFETF2306.CFE 1.0 5年期活跃券基差 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2TS-T跨品种价差 101.0 100.5 100.0 99.5 99.0 303.5 303.0 302.5 302.0 301.5 230002220022（RHS）价差（右）元TS2306.CFET2306.CFE 1.2 10年期活跃券基差 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 101.5 101.0 100.5 100.0 99.5 99.0 2TF-T跨品种价差 102.2 102.0 101.8 101.6 101.4 101.2 101.0 220017220025（RHS）价差（右）元T2306.CFETF2306.CFE 2.231% 2.513% 2.689% 2.826% 2.849% 2.31 -0.67 -1.09 -1.00 -1.24 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1Y%3Y%5Y%7Y%（右）10Y%（右） 2.98 2.88 2.78 2.68 2.58 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 曲线形态 1Y3Y5Y7Y10Y △bp（右）2023-04-072023-04-06 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 5.00 300.00 4.00 200.00 3.00 100.00 2.00 0.00 1.00 -100.00 0.00 -200.00 %中美利差bpbp美债10-2利差 150.00 100.00 50.00 0.00 -50.00 -100.00 200.00 -150.00 中美利差(RHS)美债：10Y国债：10Y DR001 1.367% 2.01 28777.17 -607.13 DR007 1.997% 2.86 992.62 22.94 DR014 2.046% 8.95 240.92 -57.72 R001 1.504% -1.45 68875.74 -2243.38 R007 2.270% -0.26 605.11 -2512.60 R014 2.378% 4.13 80.70 -283.10 3.5 2.9 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 银存间资金价格走势 %%bp 3.0 资金日变动 15.00 2.010.00 1.05.00 DR001DR007DR014 千元质押式回购成交量 12,000,000,000.0000 10,000,000,000.0000 8,000,000,000.0000 0.0 DR001DR007DR014DR021DR1MDR2MDR3M Δbp（右）2023-04-07 2023-04-06 bp 75.00 55.00 35.00 15.00 -5.00 -25.00 隔夜七天 资金分层 0.00 6,000,000,000.0000 4,000,000,000.0000 2,000,000,000.0000 0.0000 2023-01-052023-02-052023-03-052023-04-05 DR001R001