2025-26年澳大利亚农业出口报告

AustralianAgricultureExportReport Contents National Trade Summary.....................................................................................................3State Export Performance................................................................................................. 4Export Markets.............................................................................................................................5CommoditiesCattle.................................................................................................................................................. 6Cropping........................................................................................................................................... 9Dairy...................................................................................................................................................13Horticulture................................................................................................................................... 16Sheep............................................................................................................................................... 20Wool...................................................................................................................................................23 National Trade Summary The value of Australian agricultural exports surged $5 billion (+7 per cent) to $77.2billion in 2024/25, the second highest export year on record as livestock sectorexports lifted to all-time highs. The rise in export value has seen the overall agriculturesector now account for 15.1 per cent of Australia’s total exported goods. This isthe fourth consecutive rise in terms of agriculture as a percentage of total goodsexported, which hit an all-time low of 12.5 per cent in 2020/21. The strong result for theagricultural sector comes amidst a backdrop of a rapidly shifting global environmentdriven by the ongoing efforts by the US to reshape trade. Cattle industry exports were the primary driver behind the overall lift in agriculturalexport value during 2024/25. The value of cattle exports smashed records to rise $3.9billion (+26.8 per cent) as demand for Australian beef across key markets includingthe US, China and South Korea continued to lift on the back of reduced herd sizeswithin major exporting nations. It was not just cattle exports that recorded significantgrowth; in fact, the majority of commodity groups again saw growth in export valueacross 2024/25. The value of agricultural commodities, excluding cattle, rose by $1.1billion (+1.9 per cent) to a record high. The value of sheep exports increased $968million (+19.2 per cent) to over $6 billion. The nut sector also recorded a substantialrebound in the value of exports, jumping $600 million (+66.4 per cent) to $1.6 billion asrising trade tensions between the US and China shifted demand towards Australia. Cropping exports saw comparatively modest growth, with a rise of $300 million(+1.3 per cent) amidst mixed production. Moderate growth in export value was alsorecorded across seafood, dairy, wine and fruit sectors. Meanwhile, cotton, sugar,wool, and vegetable sectors were the only major agricultural commodities to recorddeclines in export value during 2024/25 with each of these commodities falling bybetween 3 and 17 per cent. Looking ahead, the value of Australian agricultural exportsis expected to record a modest decline in 2025/26, with the majority of sectors to see aslight reduction in export value. Despite the decline, the outlook for Australian exportsremains positive with the total value of exports anticipated to remain well abovethe five-year average, enabling further value creation across the agricultural supplychain. The largest decline in export value is expected to be observed across the redmeat sector, primarily driven by lower volumes on the back of restocking and reducedslaughter rates. The accompanying supply-driven rise in red meat prices is expected tooffer some support to cattle and sheep exports, with global import demand to remainsubstantial across the year. This will shield the red meat sector from a more significantdecline in overall export value. While winter crop production is set remain broadly in linewith last season, the value of cropping exports is also forecast to see a slight decline.Reduced carryover stocks will drive a fall in the value of barley and canola exportswhich is expected to more than offset a rise in the value of wheat exports. The value ofwool, dairy, fruit, and almonds exports will also moderate in 2025/26 as supply tightenswhile on the other side of the equation cotton, seafood and vegetable sectors areforecast to record a marginal rise in total export value. State Export Performance All states, with the exception of South Australia and Western Australia, recorded anincrease in export value throughout 2024/25. Victoria recorded a fourth consecutive year ofgr