您的浏览器禁用了JavaScript(一种计算机语言,用以实现您与网页的交互),请解除该禁用,或者联系我们。 [环球富盛理财]:深耕老挝钾盐,铸就世界级钾肥供应商 - 发现报告

深耕老挝钾盐,铸就世界级钾肥供应商

2026-05-02 庄怀超 环球富盛理财 叶剑锋
报告封面

深耕老挝钾盐,铸就世界级钾肥供应商 Deeply cultivating Laos potash, building a world-class potash fertilizer supplier 最新动态 ➢26Q1扣非净利润同比增长37.90%。2026Q1公司实现营业收入14.88亿元,同比增长22.70%;实现归母净利润为5.33亿元,同比增长38.52%;实现扣非净利润为5.29亿元,同比增长37.90%。2025年,公司实现营业收入53.25亿元,同比增长50.09%;实现归母净利润为16.73亿元,同比增长75.97%;实现扣非净利润为18.56亿元,同比增长108.11%。 动向解读 ➢项目建设为公司发展奠定基础。2025年全年钾肥产量201.15万吨,销量204.57万吨,产销量双双突破200万吨,创历史新高。2025年12月6日,公司小东布矿区主运输系统投运暨第三个100万吨/年钾肥项目联动投料试车成功,标志着公司正式迈入300万吨/年产能阶段;同时,公司正在加快推进第二个100万吨/年钾肥项目的矿建加固工作,公司力争推动上述项目尽快达产、稳产。公司还拥有近90万吨/年颗粒钾产能,未来公司将进一步通过技术创新手段持续优化产品品质。 ➢规模化生产模式将成为降本增效的核心驱动力。随着公司产能提升,规模化生产模式将成为降本增效的核心驱动力,未来公司各项综合成本有望进一步下降。同时,公司将通过应用井下大功率采矿设备提高采矿效率、优化井下运输系统和智能化矿山建设,逐渐朝着少人化努力,通过技术创新提高地面选厂系统收率等方式,积极推进降本增效等工作。 策略建议 ➢盈利预测。我们预计公司2026-2028年归母净利润分别为25.63、30.39、37.94亿元。参考同行业公司,我们给予公司2026年26倍PE,对应目标价72.02元,给予“买入”评级。 风险提示 ➢原材料及产品价格大幅波动、进度不及预期。 分析师介绍 分析师庄怀超,拥有北京航空航天大学本科学位和香港大学金融学硕士学位,主要覆盖能源化工和材料行业。 该分析师2022-2024年曾任职于海通国际研究部,团队2022年获得过亚洲货币第一名,该分析师2025年加入环球富盛理财有限公司。环球富盛理财有限公司是一家香港的持牌券商机构,成立于2014年。 该分析师曾在wind发布报告超过600篇,主要覆盖标的包括: 1)化工&化肥:东岳集团、环球新材国际、中国联塑、阜丰集团、中国三江化工、浦林成山、中海石油化学、中国旭阳集团、龙蟠科技、彩客新能源、天德化工、中国心连心化肥、中化化肥、米高集团、大成生化科技; 2)能源&公用事业:中创新航、中集安瑞科、新奥能源、中国电力、长江基建集团、中国能源建设、中煤能源、宏华集团、中海油田服务、安东油田服务、惠生工程、协合新能源、北京能源国际、绿色动力环保、中国光大绿色环保、首钢资源、山高新能源、新特能源、中裕能源、北京燃气蓝天、达力普控股; 3)有色&材料:中国宏桥、中国有色矿业、紫金黄金国际、万国黄金集团、潼关黄金、中国罕王、中广核矿业、稀美资源、首佳科技、信义光能、华新水泥、华润建材科技、大明国际。 微信:zhuangcharles邮箱:charles.zhuang@gpf.com.hk电话:(852)97487114; (86) 18801353537 The Benchmark: Hong Kong Hang Seng IndexTime Horizon: 6 to 18 months SECTOR RATING DEFINITIONThe Benchmark: Hong Kong Hang Seng Index Time Horizon: 6 to 18 months DISCLOSURE OF INTERESTS (1) The Analysts and their associates do not serve as an officer of the issuer mentioned in this Research Report. (2) The Analysts and their associates do not have any financial interests in relation to the issuer mentioned in this Research Report. (3) Global Prosperity Financial Company Limited and/or its subsidiaries do not hold equal to or more than 1% of the market capitalization ofthe issuer mentioned in this Research Report. (4)Global Prosperity Financial Company Limitedand/or its subsidiaries have not had investment banking relationships with the issuermentioned in this Research Report within the preceding 12 months. (5) Global Prosperity Financial Company Limitedand/or its subsidiaries are not making a market in the securities in respect of the issuermentioned in this Research Report. (6) Global Prosperity Financial Company Limitedand/or its subsidiaries have not employed an individual serving as an officer of the issuermentioned in this Research Report. There is no officer of the issuer mentioned in this Research Report associated withGlobal ProsperityFinancial Company Limitedand/or its subsidiaries. DISCLAIMER This Research Report does not constitute an invitation or offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities by Global Prosperity FinancialCompany Limited. Global Prosperity Financial Company Limited and its group companies may do business that relates to companies coveredin research reports, including investment banking, investment services, etc. (for example, the placing agent, lead manager, sponsor,underwriter or invest proprietarily). Any opinions expressed in this report may differ or be contrary to opinions or investment strategies expressed orally or in written form by salespersons, dealers and other professional executives of Global Prosperity Financial Company Limitedgroup of companies. Any opinionsexpressed in this report may differ or be contrary to opinions or investment decisions made by the asset management and investment bankinggroups ofGlobal Prosperity Financial Company Limited. Though best effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information and data contained in this Research Report,Global ProsperityFinancial Company Limited does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the information and data herein. This ResearchReportmay contain some forward-lookingestimates and forecasts derived from the assumptions of the future political and economic conditions withinherently unpredictable and mutable situation, so uncertainty may contain. Investors should understandand comprehend the investmentobjectives and its related risks, and where necessary consult their own financial advisers prior to any investment decision. This Research Report is not directed at, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen orresident of or locatedin any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation or which wouldsubjectGlobal Prosperity Financial Company Limitedand its group companies to any registration or licensing requirement within suchjurisdiction.