海外宏观：美国大选、欧洲货币、美国通胀

2. 1/14 2024/7/19 3mBILL 5.43% 0.00bp -0.07bp -0.03bp 6mBILL 5.24% 0.01bp -0.13bp -0.14bp 1YBILL 4.87% 0.00bp -0.23bp -0.16bp 2yrNOTE 4.49% 0.04bp -0.21bp -0.10bp 3yrNOTE 4.28% 0.06bp -0.17bp -0.12bp 5yrNOTE 4.16% 0.06bp -0.10bp -0.05bp 7yrNOTE 4.18% 0.05bp -0.07bp -0.02bp 10yrNOTE 4.25% 0.07bp 0.00bp 0.05b 20yrBOND 4.55% 0.05bp 0.06bp 0. 30yrBOND 4.45% 0.06bp 0.06bp 104.3801 0.2745 0.26% -1.2707 -1.2 0.9185 0.0012 0.13% -0.0154 157.4175 -0.5331 -0.34% -1.3630 0.7740 0.0038 0.49% -0.015 1.3728 0.0102 0.75% 0 10.6795 0.1492 1.42% 0.8884 -0.0059 -0.66% 181 16 315 3 4.25 0.0 2.441.05 7 2/14 3/14 0 5.25-5.5% 5.25-5.5% 0bp FED 2023/12/14 2023/11/2 4.25% 4.50% -25bp ECB 2024/6/6 2023/9/20 5.25% 5.00% 25bp BOE 2023/8/3 2023/6/22 3LIBOR 1.50% 1.75% -25bp SNB 2024/3/31 2023/6/30 5% 4.75% 25bp BOC 2024/6/5 2023/7/12 1LPR 3.45% 3.45% -10bp PBC 2023/10/20 2023/9/20 0.00% -0.10% 10bp BOJ 2024/3/21 2016/2/16 6.50% 6.25% 25bp RBI 2023/2/8 2022/12/7 4.35% 4.10% 25bp RBA 2023/11/8 2023/6/7 5.50% 5.25% 25bp RBNZ 2023/5/24 2023/4/5 10.50% 10.75% -25bp BCB 2024/5/9 2024/3/21 6.00% 6.50% -50bp BANCO 2024/5/24 2024/4/3 11.00% 11.25% -25bp BdeM 2024/3/22 2023/3/31 7 16.00% 15.00% 100bp CBR 2023/12/18 2023/10/30 4/14 5/14 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 FED FOMC 1/ 3:00 21/ 2:00 2/ 2:00 13/ 2:00 1/ 2:00 19/ 2:00 8/ 2:00 19/ 3:00 4/ 03:00 22/ 03:00 11/ 02:00 23/ 02:00 4/ 02:00 22/ 02:00 10/ 02:00 27/ 03:00 2 18/ 03:00 7/ 03:00 18/ 02:00 30/ 02:00 18/ 02:00 5/ 02:00 24/ 02:00 5/ 03:00 ECB 25/ 20:45 7/ 20:45 11/ 20:45 6/ 19:45 18/ 20:15 12/ 20:15 17/ 20:15 12/ 21:15 BOJ 23/ 11:00 19/ 11:00 26/ 11:00 14/ 11:00 31/ 11:00 20/ 11:00 31/ 11:00 19/ 11:00 BOE 1/ 20:00 21/ 20:00 9/ 19:00 20/ 19:00 1/ 19:00 19/ 19:00 7/ 20:00 19/ 20:00 BOC 24/ 23:00 6/ 23:00 10/ 22:00 5/ 22:00 24/ 22:00 4/ 22:00 23/ 22:00 11/ 23:00 RBA 6/ 11:30 19/ 11:30 7/ 12:30 18/ 12:30 6/ 12:30 24/ 12:30 5/ 11:30 10/ 11:30 CBR 16/ 18:30 22/ 18:30 26/ 18:30 7/ 18:30 26/ 18:30 13/ 18:30 25/ 18:30 20/ 18:30 BCB 1/ 05:30 21/ 05:30 9/ 05:30 20/ 05:30 1/ 05:30 19/ 05:30 7/ 05:30 12/ 05:30 6/14 202406a 202406a 202405a 202404a 202403a 202402a 202401a 202312e 202311a 202310a 202309a 202308a 202307a 202306a 202305a 202304a 202303a 202302a 202301a 202212a CPI % #N/A 3.00% 3.30% 3.40% 3.50% 3.20% 3.10% 3.40% 3.10% 3.20% 3.70% 3.70% 3.20% 3.00% 4.00% 4.90% 5.00% 6.00% 6.40% 6.50% % #N/A 3.30% 3.40% 3.60% 3.80% 3.80% 3.90% 3.90% 4.00% 4.00% 4.10% 4.30% 4.70% 4.80% 5.30% 5.50% 5.60% 5.50% 5.60% 5.70% % 2.50% 2.50% 2.60% 2.40% 2.40% 2.60% 2.80% 2.90% 2.40% 2.90% 4.30% 5.20% 5.30% 5.50% 6.10% 7.00% 6.90% 8.50% 8.60% 9.20% % 2.80% 2.90% 2.90% 2.70% 2.90% 3.10% 3.30% 3.40% 3.60% 4.20% 4.50% 5.30% 5.50% 5.50% 5.30% 5.60% 5.70% 5.60% 5.30% 5.20% % #N/A 2.80% 2.80% 2.50% 2.70% 2.80% 2.20% 2.60% 2.80% 3.30% 3.00% 3.20% 3.30% 3.30% 3.20% 3.50% 3.20% 3.30% 4.30% 4.00% % #N/A 2.60% 2.50% 2.20% 2.60% 2.80% 2.00% 2.30% 2.50% 2.90% 2.80% 3.10% 3.10% 3.30% 3.20% 3.40% 3.10% 3.10% 4.20% 4.00% % #N/A 2.00% 2.00% 2.30% 3.20% 3.40% 4.00% 4.00% 3.90% 4.60% 6.70% 6.70% 6.80% 7.90% 8.70% 8.70% 10.10% 10.40% 10.10% 10.50% % #N/A 3.50% 3.50% 3.90% 4.20% 4.50% 5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 5.70% 6.10% 6.20% 6.90% 6.90% 7.10% 6.80% 6.20% 6.20% 5.80% 6.30% % 0.20% 0.30% 0.30% 0.10% 0.70% -0.80% -0.30% -0.50% -0.20% 0.00% 0.10% -0.30% 0.00% 0.20% 0.10% 0.70% 1.00% 2.10% 1.80% % 0.60% 0.60% 0.70% 0.60% 1.20% 0.40% 0.60% 0.60% 0.60% 0.80% 0.80% 0.80% 0.40% 0.60% 0.70% 0.70% 0.60% 1.00% 0.70% PPI % 2.60% 2.40% 2.20% 1.90% 1.60% 1.00% 1.10% 0.80% 1.10% 1.80% 1.90% 1.10% 0.30% 1.10% 2.30% 2.70% 4.70% 5.70% 6.40% % #N/A -4.20% -5.70% -7.80% -8.30% -8.00% -9.60% -8.10% -8.30% -10.50% -9.50% -6.40% -2.80% -1.00% 1.50% 5.50% 12.70% 14.80% 24.60% % 2.90% 2.60% 1.20% 0.90% 0.80% 0.30% 0.30% 0.50% 1.10% 2.20% 3.40% 3.50% 4.30% 5.30% 6.10% 7.40% 8.30% 9.60% 10.60% % -0.80% -1.40% -2.50% -2.80% -2.70% -2.50% -2.70% -3.00% -2.60% -2.50% -3.00% -4.40% -5.40% -4.60% -3.60% -2.50% -1.40% -0.80% -0.70% PMI - #N/A 50.9 51.0 50.3 50.6 50.3 50.0 49.0 49.3 48.8 49.2 49.0 48.6 48.7 49.6 49.6 49.6 49.9 49.1 48.7 - #N/A 51.7 50.9 49.9 52.5 51.5 50.3 48.2 49.4 50.0 48.9 47.0 49.0 46.3 48.5 50.4 49.3 47.8 46.8 46.2 - #N/A 51.8 51.7 51.4 51.1 50.9 50.8 50.8 50.7 49.5 50.6 51.0 49.2 50.5 50.9 49.5 50.0 51.6 49.2 49.0 - 45.6 45.8 47.3 45.7 46.1 46.5 46.6 44.4 44.2 43.1 43.4 43.5 42.7 43.4 44.8 45.8 47.3 48.5 48.8 47.8 - 43.4 43.5 45.4 42.5 41.9 42.5 45.5 43.3 42.6 40.8 39.6 39.1 38.8 40.6 43.2 44.5 44.7 46.3 47.3 47.1 - 51.4 50.9 51.2 49.1 50.3 47.5 47.0 46.2 47.2 44.8 44.3 43.0 45.3 46.5 47.1 47.8 47.9 49.3 47.0 45.3 - 45.3 45.4 46.4 45.3 46.2 47.1 43.1 42.1 42.9 42.8 44.2 46.0 45.1 46.0 45.7 45.6 47.3 47.4 50.5 49.2 - 50.1 50.0 50.4 49.6 48.2 47.2 48.0 47.9 48.3 48.7 48.5 49.6 49.6 49.8 50.6 49.5 49.2 47.7 48.9 48.9 - #N/A 58.3 57.5 58.8 59.1 56.9 56.5 54.9 56.0 55.5 57.5 58.6 57.7 57.8 58.7 57.2 56.4 55.3 55.4 57.8 - #N/A 52.0 51.6 49.4 49.8 50.7 51.2 49.9 50.0 49.8 49.9 48.9 49.4 47.8 48.4 48.1 47.6 48.5 48.5 48.2 - #N/A 53.1