大宗商品周报：衰退预期升温，需求拖累商品市场表现

0.18% 2.43%1.71% 20 16 PMI 1.49%4.91% 2.61% 56 9 Z0015192 10 11F3071059 F03090299 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn OPEC+ 7911 1.71% 1.49%4.91%2.43% 2.61%0.18% 4.36%3.1% 1.97%7.69%6.85%6.51% 20 5616 iFinD 1 3.00% 2.61% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 0.18% -1.00% -2.00% -3.00% -1.49% -2.43% -1.71% -4.00% -5.00% -6.00% iFinD 2% -4.91% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% PTA PVC -15% iFinD 3C1-C3 35% 25% 15% PVC PTA 5% -5% -15% -25% iFinD 4 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 2022/1/42022/2/42022/3/42022/4/42022/5/42022/6/42022/7/42022/8/42022/9/42022/10/4 iFinD 5(%) 0.00% -2.00% -4.00% -6.00% -8.00% -2.22% -3.24% -4.30%-4.40%-4.44% -5.39%-5.41% -10.00% -12.00% 300 -10.07% iFinD ( 6) 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 400 380 360 340 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 iFinD ( 7) iFinD 30 25 20 15 PTA 10 PVC 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 8 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 PVC PTA 0.5 0.0 (0.5) (1.0) iFinD PMI 910 11 OPEC+ 9 Wind 10 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2013/11/162014/11/162015/11/162016/11/162017/11/162018/11/162019/11/162020/11/162021/11/16 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2013/11/162014/11/162015/11/162016/11/162017/11/162018/11/162019/11/162020/11/162021/11/16 GSCI/ 500 0.60 0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 2020/6/262020/9/262020/12/262021/3/262021/6/262021/9/262021/12/262022/3/262022/6/262022/9/26 0.39 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.29 0.27 0.25 2020/06/032020/09/032020/12/032021/03/032021/06/032021/09/032021/12/032022/03/032022/06/032022/09/03 Wind 11 2.49 2.28 2 7 1.8 6 1.6 1.45 1.24 2020/10/20 2020/11/20 2020/12/20 2021/1/20 2021/2/20 2021/3/20 2021/4/20 2021/5/20 2021/6/20 2021/7/20 2021/8/20 2021/9/20 2021/10/20 2021/11/20 2021/12/20 2022/1/20 2022/2/20 2022/3/20 2022/4/20 2022/5/20 2022/6/20 2022/7/20 2022/8/20 2022/9/20 22/10/20 13 0 2 wind iFinD 12ETF% 5.0% 0.92% 0.34% 0.39% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% 4.05% -6.0% -4.96% ETF ETFETFETF iFinD 13ETF 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 iFinD / / / / / / ,