2025-2026年交通运输趋势：美国交通运输基础设施现代化

Five key trends shaping the US transportationsystem, from AI and autonomous vehiclesto funding, cybersecurity, and infrastructuremodernization Deloitte Center for Government Insights 02 . . . Introduction Table of contents03. . . Five trends shaping transportation in 2025–2026 05 . . .Trend 1: Diversifying transportation funding models 09 . . .Trend 2: Scaling AI in public transportation 14 . . .Trend 3: The promise of autonomy 18 . . .Trend 4: Making transportation cybersecure 21 . . .Trend 5: Future-proofing transportation infrastructure 24 . . .Looking ahead 25 . . .Endnotes Introduction •Prioritizing public safety.The DOT hasrequestedUS$22 billion for the FederalAviationAdministration to update andmodernize technology for increased safety,including hiring and training up to 2,000 newair traffic controllers.7Additionally, the DOThas recently made US$982 million available tolocal governments for roadway safety projects.8 For more than a century, America’s trans-portation system has carried people,goods, and ideas across the nation,stitching together communities andregional economies. Today, however,that legacy could be at risk. Deferred maintenance, growing cyber vulnerabil-ities, antiquated technology, and more frequentand intense weather events are impacting an agingnetwork of roads, bridges, rail, runways, and tran-sit lines. The American Society of Civil Engineers’2025 Infrastructure Report Card assigned mostof the nation’s surface transportation and avia-tion assets grades ranging from “fair” to “poor,”signaling mounting safety and reliability concerns.1 •Diversifying funding approaches.With tradi-tional federal funding stretched thin, statesand metropolitan agencies are experiment-ing with new revenue streams, including“value capture” mechanisms and long-termpublic-private partnerships.9Virginia’s first-of-its-kind dynamic tolling express lanes, whichwere opened to traffic in 2012, have beensuccessful.10Other recent state public-privatepartnership projects, such as those in Tennesseeand Georgia, which aim to develop miles ofexpress lanes and provide significant upfrontpayments to the states while allowing conces-sionaires to recoup their investments throughtolls, point one way forward.11 An upcoming series of major international andnational events will further strain the nation’s trans-portation network. In June 2026, 11 American citieswill welcome more than 5 million fans for the FIFAFootball World Cup.2Shortly thereafter, nation-wide celebrations for the 250th anniversary of thesigning of the Declaration of Independence willinclude a variety of public events.3Two years later,Los Angeles will host the 2028 Summer Olympics.4 •Regulatory agility.At the federal level, DOTaims to reduce the regulatory burden for criticalinfrastructure projects, allocating US$9 millionin the fiscal 2026 budget to the InteragencyInfrastructure Permitting Improvement Centerto streamline permitting reviews. The adminis-tration is identifying regulations that contrib-ute to delays while focused on safety. Thesechanges aim to facilitate quicker, more efficientproject completion.12 Recent infusions of federal and state capital haveslowed the decline of our networks, but sustainedstrategicinvestment is necessary to preservethe movement of people and goods for the nextcentury.5To help address current challenges, antici-pate emerging issues, and seize future opportunities,transportation agencies should be rethinking andredefining their strategic approach. A blueprint for change The US Department of Transportation (DOT) plansto modernize the nation’s mobility infrastructure,ensuring safety, bridging funding gaps, stream-lining regulatory oversight, improving efficiencywith emerging technologies, and tapping privatesector expertise to address both existing problemsand new needs.6To achieve these goals, the DOTis focusing on: TFive trends shapingtransportation in 2025–2026 3.The promise of autonomy.Autonomous vehi-cle (AV) technology is edging into commercialservice, with robotaxi pilots on the streetsin several cities.13Government planners andpolicymakers worldwide are assessing how tosafely integrate AVs—including autonomoustrucks—into transportation ecosystems. hisyear’s Transportation Trendsreport delves into five key trends shap-ing America’s transportation agenda: 1.Diversifying transportation fundingmodels.Flat federal outlays and grow-ing needs are intensifying the search for stable, long-term revenue solutions. Manystates are expanding tolling, introducing newelectric vehicle taxes and fees, implementingmileage-based user fee pilots, adopting conges-tion pricing, and creating public-private part-nership agreements to address the wideningfunding gap. 4.Making transportation cybersecure.The rapidconvergence of information and operationaltechnologies is creating new and increasinglysophisticated cyber threats for transportationplanners and policymakers. Transportationagencies should mature their inte