National and Sectoral GHG Mitigation Potential

Executive Summary

This report compares the greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential across different models for various countries, including Australia, Canada, the European Union, Japan, Mexico, and the United States. The analysis aims to provide insights into the effectiveness and potential of different mitigation strategies.

Introduction

Background

The report was prepared in response to the needs of the Annex I Expert Group on the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). It focuses on the national and sectoral GHG mitigation potential across these countries using various models.

Scope and Approach

The study covers six major economies and employs multiple models to assess GHG mitigation potential. The models consider different sectors such as electricity supply, transport, and industry, among others.

Overview of Models

The report provides an overview of the models used in the analysis, highlighting their key features and underlying data sources.

Comparison of GHG Mitigation Potential Results Across Models

Australia

• Baseline Projections: The baseline emissions for Australia are projected to increase over time.
• Mitigation Potential: Significant opportunities exist in the electric supply and transport sectors, with potential reductions in emissions.

Canada

• Baseline Projections: Similar to Australia, Canada's baseline emissions are expected to rise.
• Mitigation Potential: Opportunities are identified in various sectors, particularly in the electricity and transportation sectors.

European Union

• Baseline Projections: The EU's baseline emissions are expected to decrease due to existing policies.
• Mitigation Potential: Substantial potential exists in the energy and industrial sectors, with significant opportunities in renewable energy and energy efficiency.

Japan

• Baseline Projections: Japan's baseline emissions are projected to remain stable or slightly increase.
• Mitigation Potential: Opportunities are found in the energy and industrial sectors, with a focus on energy efficiency and renewable energy.

Mexico

• Baseline Projections: Mexico's baseline emissions are expected to increase significantly.
• Mitigation Potential: Significant opportunities exist in the electricity and transport sectors, with potential for renewable energy deployment.

United States

• Baseline Projections: The U.S. baseline emissions are expected to decrease due to existing policies.
• Mitigation Potential: Opportunities are identified in the energy and industrial sectors, with significant potential in renewable energy and energy efficiency.

Model Comparisons: Understanding Results

Summary of Results

The report summarizes the mitigation potential estimates for each country and sector, highlighting the key findings.

Key Drivers of Results

Several factors influence the results, including policy measures, technological advancements, and economic conditions.

Further Work

The report suggests areas for further research, including the impact of specific policy interventions and the integration of new technologies.

References

The references section lists the sources used in the report, ensuring transparency and credibility.

Tables and Figures

• Tables: Summarize key data sources and mitigation options across the models.
• Figures: Provide visual representations of baseline projections and mitigation potential for each country and sector.

Conclusion

This report offers a comprehensive comparison of GHG mitigation potential across different models and countries, highlighting the opportunities and challenges in achieving climate goals.