The German elections, scheduled for September 2021, have attracted significant interest globally, especially within the European Union, due to their potential impact on European politics. The three major candidates to succeed Chancellor Angela Merkel are Armin Laschet from the moderate Christian Democrats (CDU), Olaf Scholz from the moderate Social Democratic Party (SPD), and Annalena Baerbock from the Greens.
Initially, the Greens' choice of Baerbock as their candidate came as a surprise, but she successfully defended herself against criticism regarding lack of experience. However, several controversies later, including allegations of undeclared income, plagiarism, and embellishment of her CV, led to a downturn in her popularity. Meanwhile, Laschet faced backlash over a photo where he was seen laughing while addressing victims of deadly floods, potentially costing him the campaign.
Olaf Scholz, on the other hand, has emerged as the most 'Merkel-like' candidate, having held finance minister and vice chancellor positions since 2018. He has managed to turn around polls with strong support from his party, currently leading in election predictions. It is speculated that if elected, he would lead a coalition government, excluding the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD).
The outcome of these elections could significantly affect European politics. If the SPD or Greens gain prominence in the coalition, there might be substantial changes in areas such as EU integration, fiscal policy, and EU institutions. For instance, if the SPD and Greens form the government, it could lead to a reshaping of the balance of power in the EU Council and potentially weaken the European People's Party, which currently holds leadership positions in four major EU states. However, unless the far-right AfD is included in the coalition, there is likely to be minimal change in EU policies.
In summary, the German elections in September 2021 will determine the future leadership of Germany and its potential influence on European politics.
