CF40研究·参考：特朗普与拜登“成绩单”的五维对比

䌑劓傽 Ӟ广䍳⹨脞 杅劫册┱䬴溫缋嵴䧯缥⶿溸◩缰㸉嬠 ⫐㵽䳀锢㐃耘㎼䙰缛ꄑ公╚ꄑ宑㸉◟⡀ꄑ☭溸缋嵴侓瞬⹴缋嵴侓缥溸駌焒┱駬⚃儱⬑㴼䫌玭䟩⻔溸⪸ꨴ㎌筷ն갫濫䌑耘㎼㝕ꄑꂛ瓨䲀ꂛ杅组册┱䬴溫ꂘ克⛻䙰缛⡀ꄑ ☭ꌬ㐃璺卋㺥獏⻄蔦溸缋嵴侓瞬全䑳⹴⪼䙰缛⚈劻⫐溸缋嵴䧯缥⶿ն续倁㕈◟㎼ꮪ冝䍍յ㳔脢յ㪾✅潸⪸⮕卥♈缋嵴㙨ꪍ┱ꄽ鯴蒈芤յ㹧╃䉗㐙┱侅⪝寊䌐յ⡺ⲏ⸐ⲇ┱鯯侓鰱㲼յ鰅儅侓瞬յ茤徏鿛㒘⾕官⡀⺈瞏◩╗缰䍳⮃⹿广䍳㸉嬠杅组册┱䬴溫溸缋嵴侓瞬⹴⪼㸉耘㎼缋嵴溸㵄ꮪ䔕⿱ն 广䍳⹨脞 杅劫册┱䬴溫缋嵴䧯缥⶿溸◩缰㸉嬠 㐃耘㎼䙰缛ꄑ公╚ꄑ宑㸉◟⡀ꄑ☭溸缋嵴侓瞬⹴缋嵴䧯缥溸駌焒┱駬⚃蔸 ⪸ꓨ锢䔯䔯劲㸉皶ꄑ缏卸分气ꓨ㝕䔕⿱ն㎌婟缋嵴侓瞬䔯䔯䧯╬克㝕侓⪋應揓鿲ꓪ溸呦䖦駖뀨ն갫濫䌑耘㎼㝕ꄑꂛ瓨䲀ꂛ杅组册⾕䬴溫ꂘ克⛻䙰缛⡀ꄑ☭ꌬ㐃璺卋㺥獏⻄蔦溸缋嵴侓瞬全䑳⹴⪼䙰缛⚈劻⫐溸缋嵴䧯缥⶿䉤労 ⡊婟鰯䕒ꄑ宑귱瀃ն 㐃热㐌僓ꭊ劓傽公鉿溸눢㐙氲閗ꀧ駢╚克⛻⡀ꄑ☭㎭缑㝃뀉◚駖䙎駖뀨ꂛ鉿◗䙰駉⮕ꦥ溸ꀧ駢缋嵴㙨ꪍյꄽ鯴蒈芤յ㹧╃յ鰅儅瞏⪸ꨴ缋嵴䭰吙錻뀡緾䳀⹴ն撬脯㝃㵶㪾✅䳀⮃杅组册⾕䬴溫㸉◟蔦麄缋嵴侓瞬⹴缋嵴䧯缥溸駬⚃性劔┞㴼瓨䍳溸㝮㝕䧶騗㸍┱婟⻎僓克⛻⡀ꄑ☭ꌬ㐃㎈ꉍ⻄蔦ꭄ뀨杅组册⚈劻⫐溸耘㎼缋嵴⹿㺥䕒漩◟┪┞╗㙨ꪍ⽟劻溸✍峒⪼⭀瓭侓瞬⾕泯䝠劻ꭊ溸䍎㸉䲃类㸍蔺◗侓䍠⡺ⲏ溸疿⯼㙨Ⲏ䬴溫⚈劻⫐缋嵴㙨ꅌ溸꼐䙎銩⻓⾕㹧╃俚䰕溸兇詇⹹䒧⮯㐃潸热瓨䍳┪䕒漩◟泯䝠ꅐ䧯溸⛽㕈俚侞䍎ն 㠁✇駬⛓杅组册┱䬴溫溸缋嵴䧯缥⶿倁续㕈◟㎼ꮪ冝䍍յ㳔脢յ㪾✅㸉◟ꂘ┞ꭄ뀨溸⮕卥闌騣㹅駽䳀危┞╗剳Ⲏ㵊間⾕⪢긖溸閗閤剳⬮燛㐌槏闌克⛻ ⡀ꄑ☭溸缋嵴侓瞬⹴⪼㸉耘㎼缋嵴溸䔕⿱ն 1.缋嵴㙨ꪍ┱ꄽ鯴蒈芤䬴溫溸俚䰕⚳ⲹ┱ꄑ宑溸䠋焒訒䈽 վ䉄⛆⽟⮜տ⮜倁䳀⮃克⛻䙰缛溸缋嵴䧯缥⶿㟲㐿⹨⶯1ն杅组册䱹䩘僓溸耘㎼缋嵴䉂♈-䌑溸銻ꃹ╚䚱㜩⪼⚈劻⫐溸㹧╃㙨ꪍ⾕ꄽ芤寊䌐鿲╬廛⾕ն俠✅脯阌杅组册⚈劻⫐溸GDP㙨ꪍ⾕㹧╃㙨ꪍ剳㝃儱㞻䉄뎢僓劻溸䐥缩脯긌杅组册缋嵴侓瞬溸䧯㹧ն䬴溫┪⚈僓耘㎼缋嵴婞♈假⫵泯䝠╚䚱㜩 1MeganCassellaandMeganLeonhardt.TheTrumpvs.BidenEconomy:AComparisoninCharts.Barrons.June,.https://www.barrons.com/articles/trump-vs-biden-economy-ecffa ⪼䲀⮃溸⯢應䲃类⺖Ⲏ杅组册侓䍠溸⯢應侓瞬䲀Ⲙ◗┞㐙㝕閕埛溸佻⮃搑愲⾕㹧 ╃㙨ꪍ⛰□㎌婟耘㎼ꄽ芤寊䌐兇詇┪ⶬ劅缄ꃀ❈耘臅⥈侅箄鯴䉕侓瞬ն ⪾✅脯阌㐃杅组册䪃侓溸⯼┩䌑ꓧ缋ꄽ芤騫俠⻑溸耘㎼䌐性GDP╬ .%銩⻓┯⟓⛰♇⛽◟杅组册䪩騢溸%缋嵴㙨ꪍն耘㎼鴚⪋嵟뀔砯漳瀥缀缃 鯬鯰⚈臅ꊝ뀔砯㣘⽄劲CommitteeforaResponsibleFederalBudget全䊛椱겍·뫘⻊㹹MayaMacGuineas㸉婟銩獏杅组册䪃侓僓劻溸㝕ꌄ⮕㙨 ꪍ匡蔦⭀㸵瓭侅⾕㙨Ⲏ佻⮃ն 脯䬴溫┪⚈⻑♈䌑⮵⯒䌑勒耘㎼㵄ꮪGDP䌐性嬓䌑㙨ꪍ绢 .%ն耘㎼鉿Ⲙ駢㑐AmericanActionForum全䊛ꇔ呬䬕偅·괽㸸蟋-㓪ꓭ DouglasHoltz-Eakin㸉婟銩獏䌑溸㝕ꌄ⮕㙨ꪍ匡徏◟泯䝠⢷䶤ꮕ嫙 ▇⻑溸缋嵴蔦Ⲙ㜩蜖勨⯜ն┯ꁩ㐃婟⯼㝕ꌄ⮕缋嵴㜩蜖Ⲙⲇ䉂缋巆ꃹ溸䝠 ⬔┬䌑耘㎼GDP♇撬㙨ꪍ◗.%2ն䬴溫㎑ꭶ㸉婟駌╬┞笡⮬ꃥ骮ꌬ銩僻缋嵴䉂缋点Ⲧ⹹䒧ն ꭄ뀨㐃◟ꄑ宑㸉◟䬴溫侓䍠缋嵴䧯缥溸✅䠋⛤内鿲䒙ˋˋⷬ❈耘㎼俠✅缋嵴銩⻓䉂缋㟲鿛宑⚱㸉◟缋嵴䓺ⲹ溸澚岻♇兇鯬긖ն㐃վ绹绢僓䫟տ┱ꨧ绯㳔 ꯗ臅⻉ꂛ鉿溸劅假宑騫╚鱪ꁩ⶯俚%溸溫駘ꄑ宑銩獏耘㎼缋嵴枱⬔鿲䈽%駌╬┞薮⺢劔%溸☭銩獏虙㟲䧶⚳瑫3ն 疵⪼ⸯ㎌潸㸉◟㴥間缋嵴䭰吙㝕㝃俚ꄑ宑剳茤潳䱹䠋⺇⯒┱蔦麄气嵛䛉䛉潸⪸溸䈰鰑յ朮⚃瞏䭰吙溸⺈ꄽ鯴蒈芤♇儱缋嵴䝠缦⛽ꃟ溸全锢ⸯ㎌ն䉘띸ꓭ偅㳔劲㸉婟䳀⮃둛ꄽ芤⾕둛朮⚃儱ꄑ宑劅⪸䖦溸缋嵴ꭄ뀨䌔全㸍濫ꄑ宑㸉◟缋嵴䓺ⲹ溸駬⛓脯蔦䬴溫┪⚈♨匡朮⚃寊䌐䉂┪巹◗.%ꂘ┞巹䋀 ⭠内儱杅组册⚈劻⻎劻┩䌑관◩╗劓%㙨ꪍ溸㎃⠩4ն鱪ꁩ┩⮕▇◝溸ꄑ宑銩 2MeganLeonhardt.TheTrumpvs.BidenEconomy:AComparisoninCharts.Barrons.February,.https://www.barrons.com/articles/trump-biden-economy-inflation-presidential-race-fc 3BenCasselmanandLydiaDePillis.BrighterEconomicMoodIsntTranslatingIntoSupportforBiden.March,. https://www.nytimes.com////business/economy/biden-economy-times-siena-poll.html 4SarahFosterandAmySims.BidenversusTrumpseconomy:Howthepresidentialcandidatesstackuponinflation,jobsandmore.Bankrate.June, .https://www.bankrate.com/banking/federal-reserve/biden-versus-trump-economy/ 獏ꄽ芤婞劸濫ꨟ騗溸做⻔⹿㺥ꂀ㎃⮕▇┩溸ꄑ宑銩獏⚃呬寊䌐溸┪巹鱪ꁩ◗㵶 䎂侅⪝溸㙨ꪍ⺢劔%溸ꄑ宑뀔駉绪匡┞䌑溸缋嵴㸞劲㟲鿛5ն 㶕娟周㝕㳔巆鰆脢⟥䖦䭰俚兇獏㐃杅组册䪃侓劻ꭊ巆鰆脢⟥䖦潸㸉⺈ 鿲㸰巆鰆脢騫句全⚈䕇衂㴘JoanneHsu駌╬ꂘ銩僻宑⚱駌╬缋嵴㜘◟甯㴼枱䘒⺪錻閗╬杅组册䪃侓劻ꭊ觝ꅐ溸甯㴼缋嵴楒㘷溸駩僻⛰㐃䬴溫䪃侓溸㝧┩䌑巆鰆脢⟥䖦鳰蔸銻ꃹ寊䌐溸⛽掾䌑劓⮱┬⸉⺮假⛽ꂀ劻巆鰆脢⟥䖦劔䨿⹹䒧⛰♇ꂜ⛽◟泯⯼寊䌐ն䕇衂㴘駌╬巆鰆脢⟥䖦䭰俚┬ꮴ溸ⸯ ㎌▇┞婞儱㐃㝃䌑⛽ꄽ芤յ⛽⯈椚楒㘷▇⻑⮃⻓溸ꄽ芤寊䌐䙋Ⱖ┪ⶬ6ն ㎽耘㎼巆鰆脢⟥䖦䭰俚 俚䰕匡徏耘㎼㶕娟周㝕㳔 վ缋嵴㳔☭տ㸉婟駬⚃銩獏ꄑ宑䨿閒駩溸儱䬴溫⚈劻⫐溸ꄽ芤寊䌐䭦缩둛 ⚕騣⯒溸㝧匜假ꭑ儱䬴溫ꄽ芤Bidenflation脯긌杅组册ꄽ芤 Trumpflationն氮婟匡澚㐃䱽⯜ꄽ芤寊䌐做긖杅组册䧯╬鰯㵶7ն ⡽䕒峜䟩溸儱缋嵴㳔㵶溸駬⚃䧶┱宑⚱✅䠋㲾㐃䈽䐻ն劓傽䭇騢鯪㸸缋嵴㳔㞝䕒全绢橳㝜·偅誫呬⯈蟋㐃⫐溸⛻뀆㸻缋嵴㳔㵶矸翤◗┞㸖臅⻐ 5WilliamA.Galston.Howvotersfeelabouttheeconomy:takeawaysfromthelatestpolls.Brookings.March,.https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-voters-feel-about-the-economy--takeaways-from-the-latest-polls/ 6MeganLeonhardt.TheTrumpvs.BidenEconomy:AComparisoninCharts.Barrons.February,. https://www.barrons.com/articles/trump-biden-economy-inflation-presidential-race-fc 7TenchartscompareJoeBidensrecordwithDonaldTrumps.TheEconomist.January,.https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail////ten-charts-compare-joe-bidens-record-with-donald-trumps ⟥⮇餿⼴⪫⚱杅组册溸缋嵴駉⮦㹐⪼儱┯鯬鯰⚈溸鯯侓뀔砯䧶㸞⫙䍳䑜⹿둛ꄽ 芤ն缋嵴㳔㵶♰㐃⟥╚銩獏轇撬䧰♰㸉◟缋嵴侓瞬溸缂虹䭦劔┯⻎間掾⛰䧰♰⪴⻎駌╬䬴溫溸缋嵴駖瓨僻兇⚳◟杅组册8ն┯ꁩ杅组册皶ꄑ㎑ꭶ㑏⬑䬤缙䱹⺇騢㞝缋嵴㳔㵶♰溸間掾ն ⺞┞做긖缋嵴㳔㵶㸉◟缋嵴䓺ⲹ溸駌焒□劁㐃濫║ꓨ溸⪋嵟⮕婤ն㐃վⶶ㸸銏傽䫟տ劓ꂛ鉿溸缋嵴뀔嵱騫句╚%溸⺇駧缋嵴㳔㵶駌╬䬴溫溸侓瞬㸞嬠杅组册溸侓瞬剳劔⯈◟缋嵴%溸☭銩獏杅组册溸侓瞬㸞劲剳㟲9ն 2.㹧╃䉗㐙┱侅⪝寊䌐䬴溫侓䍠䧶㐃㹧╃做긖瓫䕼뀖⩰ ⲧⲘⲇ䉗㐙溸꼐䙎⺪♨騜儱杅组册侓䍠⾕䬴溫侓䍠缋嵴侓瞬溸⪴⻎苞⯈ն俠 ✅脯阌䬴溫侓䍠䧶㐃㹧╃做긖瓫䕼뀖⩰ն ㎽耘㎼㝤╃椚 俚䰕匡徏վ䉄⛆⽟⮜տ耘㎼ⲧ䈰缛駉㹾 周䰕耘㎼ⲧ䈰ꌄ俚䰕杅组册┪⚈僓溸㝤╃椚╬.%䌑劓㝤╃椚 8HansNichols.Scoop:NobeleconomistsseeaTrumpinflationbomb.Axios.June,.https://www.axios.com////nobel-prize-winners-biden-economy-trump-inflation 9JustinLahart.InflationWouldbeWorseUnderaTrumpPresidency,Nobel-WinningEconomistsSay.TheWallStreetJournal.June,.https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp-nasdaq-live---/card/inflation-would-be-worse-under-a-trump-presidency-nobel-winning-economists-say-inZNgWuwgHdlm ꮴ蔸.%⮱┬䌑匡劅⛽寊䌐㐃假⫵泯䝠凾⹿▇⯼杅组册⚈⫐假㙨㹧╃ 㼮⛻⪴駉┧╗ն䬴溫䱹䩘溸⮯儱┞╗㎌泯䝠脯꯼⪝庌决溸ⲧⲘⲇ䉗㐙䌑耘㎼⭀㸵◗┧╗䈰✑㼮⛻䌑⮵㝤╃椚ꁒ⯒◗.%ն┯ꁩ갫濫泯䝠 ⷩ勨罏闌⾕缋嵴ꓨ假䐷侒䌑劓溸㝤╃椚ꮴ蔸.%╬䌑匡溸劅⛽寊䌐婟⻑□㢽缄受䭦⛽⛻ն䌑蔸䌑耘㎼缋嵴⪴假㙨◗┧╗㹧╃㼮⛻㸉䬴溫⾕宑全⪋ꄑ䝠卐䧯⯈㟲ն 克⛻⡀ꄑ☭㐃䈰☭侅⪝做긖⺪茤䩤╬䌐㹾նվ缋嵴㳔☭տ䳀⮃轇撬䌐性䈰鰑㐃杅组册⚈劻勒㹼僻兇┪巹⛰䔻걾㸞⪼䓛ⲍ◟杅组册溸缋嵴侓瞬⪼剳㝃儱⹹儙 ◗泯䝠凾⹿⻑ⲧⲘⲇ卐䧯溸䈵㝕⺈ˋˋ⛽侅⪝䈰☭嬠둛侅⪝聁✅剳㵽儅㝤╃ն㐃䬴溫䪃侓劻ꭊ轇撬耘㎼☭绳绳ꓨꂊⲧⲘⲇ㝕⫯⻐▄䈰鰑㙨ꪍ点Ⲧ⛰ꄽ鯴蒈芤䭦缩둛⚕┞做긖䲀둛◗气嵛䧯续⺞┞做긖□➜轊◗侅⪝寊䌐ն㠁卸䭶攍泯䝠⯼溸鱶ⲹ绻匡澚䬴溫䪃侓劻ꭊ溸銩⻓⛤内䐥缩◗杅组册䪃侓劻ꭊ溸㙨ꪍⲹ㝧10ն ㎽耘㎼䈰☭僓赜嬓㸰僓侅⪝⺈溯⮕嬠周䰕ꄽ鯴蒈芤ꂛ鉿騫俠 俚䰕匡徏վ䉄⛆⽟⮜տ,耘㎼ⲧ䈰缛駉㹾俚䰕缋㳌虹䙎騫俠 10TenchartscompareJoeBidensrecordwithDonaldTrumps.TheEconomist.January,.https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail////ten-charts-compare-joe-bide