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纳米比亚农业灾害风险金融和保险诊断（英）2023

农林牧渔2023-11-16-世界银行李***

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The report titled "FinanceEquitable Growth, Finance & Institutions Insight Trade, Investment and CompetitivenessFinanceNamibia Agriculture Disaster Risk Finance and Insurance Diagnostic" is a diagnostic study conducted by Ajai Nair, Barry Maher, Qhelile Ndlovu, Andrea Stoppa, and Chris Hoveka. The study focuses on Namibia's agriculture sector and the need for disaster risk finance and insurance. The study highlights the importance of financial inclusion and access to finance for smallholder farmers in Namibia. The authors recommend that the government of Namibia should work towards improving access to finance for smallholder farmers and implementing disaster risk management measures. The study also emphasizes the importance of investment in infrastructure and technology for promoting economic growth and competitiveness in Namibia. Overall, the study provides valuable insights into the challenges and opportunities facing Namibia's agriculture sector and the role of finance in promoting equitable growth and competitiveness.

PublicDisclosureAuthorized TRADE,INVEFSINTAMNECNETANDCOMPETITIVENESS PublicDisclosureAuthorized PublicDisclosureAuthorized FINANCE EQUITABLEGROWTH,FINANCE&INSTITUTIONSINSIGHT PublicDisclosureAuthorized NamibiaAgricultureDisasterRiskFinanceandInsuranceDiagnostic AjaiNair,BarryMaher,QhelileNdlovu, AndreaStoppa,ChrisHoveka ©2023InternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank1818HStreetNW WashingtonDC20433 Telephone:202-473-1000Internet:www.worldbank.org ThisworkisaproductofthestaffofTheWorldBankwithexternalcontributions.Thefindings,interpretations,andconclusionsexpressedinthisworkdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsofTheWorldBank,itsBoardofExecutiveDirectors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent. TheWorldBankdoesnotguaranteetheaccuracy,completeness,orcurrencyofthedataincludedinthisworkanddoesnotassumeresponsibilityforanyerrors,omissions,ordiscrepanciesintheinformation,orliabilitywithrespecttotheuseoforfailuretousetheinformation,methods,processes,orconclusionssetforth.Theboundaries,colors,denominations,andotherinformationshownonanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartofTheWorldBankconcerningthelegalstatusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries. NothinghereinshallconstituteorbeconstruedorconsideredtobealimitationuponorwaiveroftheprivilegesandimmunitiesofTheWorldBank,allofwhicharespecificallyreserved. RightsandPermissions Thematerialinthisworkissubjecttocopyright.BecauseTheWorldBankencouragesdisseminationofitsknowledge,thisworkmaybereproduced,inwholeorinpart,fornoncommercialpurposesaslongasfullattributiontothisworkisgiven. Anyqueriesonrightsandlicenses,includingsubsidiaryrights,shouldbeaddressedtoWorldBankPublications,TheWorldBankGroup,1818HStreetNW,Washington,DC20433,USA;fax:202-522-2625;e-mail:pubrights@worldbank.org. Coverphoto:iStockRobF73 Contents Acknowledgments vii Foreword ix ExecutiveSummary x 1.IntroductionandCountryContext 1 MacroandSocioeconomicEnvironment 2 AgricultureSector 3 FinancialSector 5 2.DisasterRiskFinance:IntroductionandNamibiaContext 7 Namibia’sDisasterRiskVulnerabilityandImpactofClimateChange 10 InstitutionalFrameworkforDisasterRiskManagementinNamibia 11 StatusofDisasterRiskFinancingInstrumentsinNamibia 13 FinancialProtectionforAgricultureinNamibia 15 3.AgriculturalInsuranceforSmallholdersinNamibia 19 FeaturesofAgriculturalInsuranceProducts 19 PublicandPrivateApproachestoDevelopingAgriculturalInsuranceMarkets 22 TheAgriculturalInsuranceMarketinNamibia 28 MarketSegmentationandPerilIdentification 29 SelectingAppropriateAgriculturalInsuranceProducts 29 ImplementingaNationalAgriculturalInsuranceProgram 32 ProvidingFiscalSupportforaNAIP 33 4.RecommendationsandNextSteps 35 DevelopandAdoptaRisk-LayeredApproachtoDisasterRiskFinancing 35 SupporttheExpansionofAccesstoFinancialServicesforSmallholderFarmers 37 UseDifferentiatedApproachestoProtectSmallholdersandSubsistenceFarmers 37 SupportDevelopmentofIndexInsuranceProductsforLivestockandCrops 38 EstablishaNationalAgriculturalInsuranceProgramasaPPP 38 >>> >>> Contents ProvideAdequateFiscalSupporttotheNAIP39 NextSteps40 References42 AnnexA:OrganizationsMetbytheMission45 AnnexB:DisasterRiskManagementPolicyFramework46 AnnexC:IndicesBasedonDataCollectedviaRemoteSensing47 AnnexD:ParametersforScenarioTesting50 >>> Boxes Box1:BuildingResiliencethroughFinancialInclusion17 Box2:BasisRiskinIndexInsurance21 Box3:InternationalExamplesofGovernmentSupportforAgriculturalInsurance26 Box4:TheKenyanPPPExperienceinDevelopinganAgriculturalInsuranceProgram27 >>> Figures Figure1:LivestockDistributionNorthandSouthoftheVCF4 Figure2:TotalLivestockProductionValueandNumberMarketed5 Figure3:DRFIsaCorePartofDisasterRiskManagement7 Figure4:CountriesinSub-SaharanAfricaThatHaveaDRFStrategyorArePreparingOne8 Figure5:FourCorePrinciplesofDRF9 Figure6:HistoricLivestockLossesDuetoDrought11 Figure7:InstitutionalFrameworkforDisasterRiskManagement12 >>> Figures Figure8:ExistingandProposedDRFMechanismsforAgriculture13 Figure9:TotalFundingandSourcesforDisasterResponsePrograms15 Figure10:EstimatedLossDuetoDroughtversusGRNandHumanitarianDisasterSupport16 Figure11:TotalExpenditureinResponsetoDisasters17 Figure12:RiskLayeringattheHouseholdLevelforCommunalFarmersinNamibia18 Figure13:FinancialInclusionofFarmers18 Figure14:RolesofPublicandPrivateSectorsinDifferentTypesofAgriculturalInsurance Programs23 Figure15:PrivateMarketStructureforAgriculturalInsurancewithNoPublicSupport24 Figure16:PPPOrganizationalStructureforAgriculturalInsurance25 Figure17:PotentialInitialInstitutionalStructureforaNAIPinNamibia32 Figure18:Risk-LayeringApproachwithRecommendedNAIP36 Figure19:AgriculturalInsuranceProductsRecommendedforNamibiaandRelatedInitiatives38 FigureC.1:RelativeEvapotranspirationAnomaliesinNamibiain2019and202148 FigureC.2:SoilMoistureAnomaliesinAfricainJanuary202349 >>> Tables Table1:NextStepstoOperationalizeRecommendationsxiii Table2:Land-UseAreaandNumberofCommunalHouseholdsbySizeofHolding3 Table3:Comparat

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