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The heavy-duty truck industry in China is expected to recover and maintain a stable commercial base, despite a slump in 2022 due to regional economic slowdown, COVID-19 lockdowns, and pre-purchasing in 2020 and 2021. The industry is becoming more concentrated, with the top five participants holding over 80% of the market. The established leaders will likely maintain their positions, but competitors from other geographies and adjacent sectors may also enter the market. Premiumization, electrification, autonomous driving, and a value pool shift to solutions and services will shape the future of heavy-duty trucks in China.