The report discusses the prospects for coercive diplomacy in Ukraine, focusing on the psychological factors that influence the perceptions and judgments of the target. The author argues that the West has been unable to use military force to stop Russia's war in Ukraine due to concerns about escalation. The report suggests that the West should consider using economic sanctions and diplomatic pressure to achieve its goals. The author also notes that misperceptions and miscalculations by the opponent can determine the outcome of coercive diplomacy.