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机械设备行业:科创板询价报告之铂力特

机械设备2019-07-04徐鹏华鑫证券墨***
机械设备行业:科创板询价报告之铂力特

规范、专业、创新 请阅读最后一页重要免责声明1 华鑫证券·科创板询价报告 证券研究报告 主要财务指标(单位:百万元)  公司技术国际领先,产业化成果显著。铂力特是一家专注于工业级金属增材制造(3D打印)的高新技术企业,产品广泛应用于航空航天领域。公司是全球领先的金属增材制造企业,是金属增材制造国际主流技术(SLM及LSF技术)的基础工艺研发与工程化应用国际领先的公司。目前,公司自主研发十余个型号的增材制造设备,出货量及市场占有率在国产金属3D打印设备市场中排名第一,其中S310型号设备通过空中客车公司认证。  产业规模持续扩大,行业进入快速发展期。据国际数据公司(IDC)预测,2016-2020年,全球增材制造产业的年复合增速将保持在22.3%,至2020年全球增材制造产值将达289亿美元。据中国增材制造业产业联盟统计,在2015-2017年3年间,我国增材制造产业规模年均增速超过30%,2017年,我国增材制造产业规模已超过100亿元。初步预计,我国3D打印市场规模2022年将达到80亿美元左右。  客户资源优质,航空航天领域市占率高。公司作为金属增材制造行业的领军企业,在航空航天领域市场占有率较高,对公司的营收贡献较大。2018年,公司前五名客户销售金额占总营收的比重为68.35%,其中前三家航空航天领域客户销售占比达到53.76%。  公司估值及询价建议:由于可比公司杭州先临三维在新三板上市,市场流动性相对不足,且目前处于停牌状态,采用先临三维动态市盈率估值或出现较大的偏差。同时,国外并无从事3D金属打印的可比上市公司,因此我们采用绝对估值方法进行估值。我们对公司未来10年的营收情况进行预测,并基于自有现金流折现(DCF)模型对公司进行估值,测算出公司合理估值中枢为37.75元/股,对应市值为30.2亿元,估值中枢对应的2019年动态PE为47.19倍,公司上下15%的询价区间为 [32.83,42.67]元/股。  风险提示:产业应用不及预期、产品被更新替代、关键核心器件依赖进口、客户集中度较高、市场系统性风险等。 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E 营业收入 291 384 521 701 (+/-) 32.5% 31.8% 35.7% 34.5% 营业利润 52 68 91 112 (+/-) 42.2% 29.2% 34.4% 23.3% 归属母公司净利润 57 64 85 105 (+/-) 66.9% 11.4% 33.7% 23.0% EPS(元) 0.95 0.80 1.06 1.31 数据来源:Wind,华鑫证券研发部 分析师:徐鹏 执业证书编号:S1050516020001 联系人:谢玉磊 电话:021-54967579 邮箱:xieyl@cfsc.com.cn 华鑫证券有限责任公司 地址:上海市徐汇区肇嘉浜路750号 邮编:200030 电话:(8621)64339000 网址:http://www.cfsc.com.cn 2019年7月4日 机械设备 科创板询价报告之铂力特 建议询价区间:[32.83,42.67]元/股 规范、专业、创新 请阅读最后一页重要免责声明2 华鑫证券·科创板询价报告 目 录 一、同类公司估值情况····················································································································································· 3 二、公司估值及询价建议 ················································································································································· 3 三、公司概况 ···································································································································································· 4 1.公司简介 ··············································································································································································· 4 2.公司股权结构及融资历程 ···················································································································································· 5 四、全球领先的金属3D打印提供商 ······························································································································· 6 1. 技术国际领先,产业化成果显著 ······································································································································ 6 2. 产业规模持续扩大,行业进入快速发展期 ······················································································································ 7 3.客户资源优质,航空航天领域市占率高 ···························································································································· 8 五、财务数据 ···································································································································································· 8 六、风险提示 ···································································································································································· 9 图表 1 主要竞争对手及同类公司估值情况(截止到2019年7月3日) .................................. 3 图表 2 DCF估值参数 ............................................................................. 4 图表 3 公司激光选区熔化成形设备一览 ............................................................ 5 图表 4 公司激光立体成形设备一览 ................................................................ 5 图表 5 公司主要客户 ............................................................................ 5 图表 6 公司股权结构图 .......................................................................... 6 图表 7 公司股权转让及增资情况 .................................................................. 6 图表 8 3D打印产业链图 .......................................................................... 7 图表 9 全球增材制造产业保持高速增长 ............................................................ 8 图表 10 2012-2017年国内增材制造产业规模快速增长 ................................................ 8 图表 11 2018年公司前五大客户销售情况 ........................................................... 8 图表 12 2018年公司营业收入划分(按产品) ....................................................... 9 图表 13 公司近三年来营业收入和净利润 ........................................................... 9 图表 14 公司盈利预测 .......................................................................... 10 规范、专业、创新 请阅读最后一页重要免责声明3 华鑫证券·科创板询价报告 一、同类公司估值情况 在金属3D打印领域,公司海外的主要竞争对手包括德国EOS公司、美国GE增材制造、德国SLM solutions等。德国EOS是金属和高分子材料工业3D打印的领导者。EOS公司现在已经成为全球最大的金属增材制造设备提供商,覆盖设备、工艺和资讯服务等一整套体系。德国SLM Solutions集团是世界领先的金属激光增材制造设备生产商及服务提供商,在法兰克福上市。2016年,GE公司成功收购瑞典Arcam公司和德国Concept Laser公司,成为金属增材制造领域的佼佼者,并在航空发动机领域实现增材制造零部件的规模化应用。国内方面,杭州先临三维科技股份有限公司专注3D数字技术十余年,产品和服务涵盖3D扫描、3D打印装备和材料、优化设计与快速制造服务、3D造云平台等,为高端制造、精准医疗、创新教育、定制消费等领域用户提供“3D数字化——智能设计——增材制造”系统解决方案。 在非金属3D打印领域,美国Stratasys和3D Systems两家公司出货量保持行业前两位,其中,2017年Stratasys的市场份额达到27.2%,累计装机量达到55,785台。3D System