Preliminary Pricing Supplement No. 16,952Registration Statement Nos. 333-293641; 333-293641-01Dated June 26, 2026Filed pursuant to Rule 424(b)(2) Morgan Stanley Finance LLCSTRUCTURED INVESTMENTS Opportunities in U.S. EquitiesMarket Linked Securities—Auto-Callable with Leveraged Upside Participation with Contingent Absolute Return and Contingent Downside Holding Limited, the Capital Stock of International Business Machines Corporation and the Common Stock ofBlackstone Inc. due July 6, 2029Fully and Unconditionally Guaranteed by Morgan Stanley ■Linked to the lowest performing of the American Depositary Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Limited, the capital stock of International Business Machines Corporation and thecommon stock of Blackstone Inc. (each referred to as an “underlying stock”)■The securities offered are unsecured obligations of Morgan Stanley Finance LLC (“MSFL”) and are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Morgan Stanley. Unlike ordinary debt securities, the securities do not pay interest, do not guarantee the repayment of principal and are subject to potential automatic call prior to the maturity date upon the termsdescribed below. The securities have the terms described in the accompanying product supplement for principal at risk securities, tax supplement and prospectus, as supplementedor modified by this document. ■Automatic Call.The securities will be automatically called if the stock closing price of the lowest performing underlying stock on the call date isgreater than or equal toits call pricefor a call payment equal to the face amountplusthe call premium of at least approximately 48.30% of the face amount (to be determined on the pricing date). No further paymentswill be made on the securities once they have been called. The call price for each underlying stock is equal to 85% of its starting price.■Maturity Payment Amount.If the securities are not automatically called prior to maturity, you will receive at maturity a cash payment per security as follows: ■If the ending price of the lowest performing underlying stock isgreater thanits starting price, you will receive a maturity payment amount equal to the face amountplusapositive return equal to 400% of the percentage increase in the price of the lowest performing underlying stock from its starting price.■If the ending price of the lowest performing underlying stock isequal to or less thanits starting price, butgreater than or equal to50% of its starting price, which we refer toas the threshold price, you will receive a maturity payment amount of $1,000plusan unleveraged positive return equal to the absolute value of the percentage decline inthe The securities are for investors who are willing to risk their principal and forgo current income in exchange for the possibility of receiving a call payment greater than the face amountif the stock closing price ofeachunderlying stock isgreater than or equal toits call price on the call date or maturity payment amount greater than the face amount if the endingprice ofeachunderlying stock isgreater thanits starting price on the calculation day, in addition to the absolute return feature that applies to only a limited range of performance of ■Because all payments on the securities are based on the lowest performing of the underlying stocks, a decline in price of more than 50% by any underlying stock will result in a losson your investment, even if the price of the other underlying stocks have appreciated or have not declined as much.■If the securities are automatically called prior to maturity, investors will not participate in any appreciation of any underlying stock.■The securities are notes issued as part of MSFL’s Series A Global Medium-Term Notes program■All payments are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations, you could lose some or all of your investment The current estimated value of the securities is approximately $948.40 per security, or within $30.00 of that estimate.The estimated value of the securities is determined using our own pricing andvaluation models, market inputs and assumptions relating to the underlying stocks, instruments based on the underlying stocks, volatility and other factors including current and expected interest rates,as well as an interest rate related to our secondary market credit spread, which is the implied interest rate at which our conventional fixed rate debt trades in the secondary market. See “Estimated The securities have complex features and investing in the securities involves risks not associated with an investment in ordinary debtsecurities. See “Risk Factors” beginning on page 10. All payments on the securities are subject to our credit risk. The Securities and Exchange Commission and state securities regulators have not approved or disapproved these securities, or determined if this document or the accompanying product supplement,tax supplement and prospectus is truthful or complete. Any representation to the co