报告的社会动荡指数：2024年9月更新（英）
AI智能总结Reported Social Unrest Index: September 2024 Update
Introduction
This paper provides an update on the Reported Social Unrest Index (RSUI), which tracks social unrest events through media reports. The index covers 130 countries and is updated monthly. This update focuses on the period from June 2023 to July 2024.
Global Trends
- Stability in Social Unrest: The frequency of global social unrest events has remained relatively stable over the past 13 months.
- Geographic Patterns:
- Europe: Major events occurred in France, Israel, the Netherlands, Spain, Poland, and the Slovak Republic.
- Sub-Saharan Africa: Events were concentrated in Niger, Chad, Senegal, Madagascar, Kenya, and other countries.
- Western Hemisphere: Notable events happened in Ecuador and Argentina.
- Other Regions: Significant unrest was observed in Papua New Guinea, Pakistan, Georgia, Armenia, and Bangladesh.
Methodology
- Data Source: The RSUI counts mentions of unrest-related terms in prominent media outlets.
- Validation: The method has been validated through case studies, showing its effectiveness in identifying major unrest events.
Detailed Analysis by Region
Europe
- France: Protests and riots followed the shooting of a motorist by police.
- Israel: Mass demonstrations and disruptions due to judicial reforms.
- Netherlands: Long-running farmers' protests.
- Spain: Mass demonstrations against amnesty for Catalan independence leaders.
- Poland: Demonstrations ahead of and after elections.
- Slovak Republic: Mass demonstrations due to reforms of the public broadcaster.
Sub-Saharan Africa
- Niger: Military coup in July 2023.
- Chad: Protests marking the transition to civilian rule in May 2024.
- Senegal: Social unrest due to delayed elections.
- Madagascar: Protests around elections.
- Kenya: Mass demonstrations due to tax changes.
Western Hemisphere
- Ecuador: Assassination of a presidential candidate led to unrest.
- Argentina: Large demonstrations following the announcement of a reform package.
Other Regions
- Papua New Guinea: Strike by police led to disorder.
- Pakistan: Unrest related to elections.
- Georgia and Armenia: Large political demonstrations.
- Bangladesh: Mass demonstrations led to the President's flight.
Conclusion
The RSUI continues to provide valuable insights into the global landscape of social unrest, highlighting specific regions and events that require attention. The data underscores the complex and varied nature of social unrest across different parts of the world.
Figure 1: Fraction of countries experiencing major unrest events
Figure 2: RSUI June 2023 – July 2024, select European countries
Figure 3: RSUI June 2023 – July 2024, select European countries
Figure 4: RSUI June 2023 – July 2024, select African countries
Figure 5: RSUI June 2023 – July 2024, select countries in the Western Hemisphere
Figure 6: RSUI June 2023 – July 2024, select countries elsewhere
