Tools for Making Smart Investments in Prevention and Preparedness in Europe

PublicDisclosureAuthorized PublicDisclosureAuthorized PublicDisclosureAuthorized PublicDisclosureAuthorized ECONOMICSFORDISASTERPREVENTIONANDPREPAREDNESS FromDatatoDecisions ToolsforMakingSmartInvestmentsinPreventionandPreparednessinEurope ©2024 TheWorldBank 1818HStreetNW,Washington,DC20433www.worldbank.org Disclaimer ThisdocumentistheproductofworkperformedbyWorldBankstaffandconsultants.Thefindings,interpretations,andconclusionsexpressedinthisdocumentdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsoftheExecutiveDirectorsoftheWorldBankorthegovernmentstheyrepresent.TheWorldBankdoesnotguaranteetheaccuracyofthedataincludedinthiswork.Theboundaries,colors,denomination,andotherinformationshowninanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartofTheWorldBankconcerningthelegalstatusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries.NothinghereinshallconstituteorbeconsideredtobealimitationuponorwaiveroftheprivilegesandimmunitiesofTheWorldBank,allofwhicharespecificallyreserved. ThispublicationwasproducedwiththefinancialsupportoftheEuropeanUnion.ItscontentsdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsoftheEuropeanUnion. AdministrationAgreementbetweentheEuropeanCommissionandtheInternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopmentconcerningthePartIIEurope2020ProgrammaticSingle-DonorTrustFund(No.TF073835)(ECContractNo.ECHOSUB/IBRD/2022/876156). RightsandPermissions Thematerialinthispublicationiscopyrighted.Copyingand/ortransmittingportionsofthisworkwithoutpermissionmaybeaviolationofapplicablelaws.Forpermissiontophotocopyorreprintanypartofthiswork,pleasesendarequestwiththecompleteinformationtoeitherTheWorldBankorEuropeanCommission. Pleaseusethefollowingwordingwhencitingthisreport: WorldBankandEuropeanCommission.2024.FromDatatoDecisions:ToolsforMakingSmartInvestmentsinPreventionandPreparedness. Translations Ifyoucreateatranslationofthiswork,pleaseaddthefollowingdisclaimeralongwiththeattribution:ThistranslationisanadaptationofanoriginalworkbyTheWorldBankandshouldnotbeconsideredanofficialWorldBanktranslation.TheWorldBankshallnotbeliableforanycontentorerrorinthistranslation. Adaptation Ifyoucreateanadaptationofthiswork,pleaseaddthefollowingdisclaimeralongwiththeattribution:ThisisanadaptationofanoriginalworkbyTheWorldBank.ViewsandopinionsexpressedintheadaptationarethesoleresponsibilityoftheauthorsoftheadaptationandarenotendorsedbyTheWorldBank. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Thisreportwasdevelopedaspartofthetechnicalassistanceproject‘Phase2-EconomicAnalysisofPreventionandPreparednessinEuropeanUnionMemberStatesandCountriesunderEUCivilProtectionMechanism’,coordinatedbytheDirectorate-GeneralforEuropeanCivilProtectionandHumanitarianAidOperations(DGECHO)andotherEuropeanCommission(EC)stakeholders.ThetechnicalassistanceisfundedthroughtheUCPMMulti-AnnualWorkProgramme2021–2024.ThisreportwasproducedunderComponent1:“Supporttobuildingphysicalresilience–scalingupriskreductionandgreeninvestments.” ThisreportwaspreparedundertheguidanceandsupervisionofChristophPusch(PracticeManager,Urban,DisasterRiskManagement,ResilienceandLand,EuropeandCentralAsia),MarinaWes(CountryDirectorfortheEuropeanUnionCountries),andSamehWahba(RegionalDirectorforSustainableDevelopment,EuropeandCentralAsia).ItwasdevelopedundertheleadershipandcoordinationofZuzanaStanton-Geddes(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist)andStephanZimmermann(DisasterRiskManagementSpecialist),withexpertinputsprovidedbySoleneDengler(ClimateChangeAdaptationExpert),StuartFraser(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementExpert),EnockNyamador(RiskDataandGISExpert),SorayaRidanovic(DisasterRiskManagementAnalyst),PaulWatkiss(SeniorClimateChangeAdaptationExpert),andTianyuZhang(ClimateEconomicsExpert).TheBulgariacasestudybenefitedfrominputsfromMaryiaMarkhvida(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementExpert),DimitarNachev(DisasterRiskManagementExpert),andMomchilPanayotov(WildfiresandForestryExpert).TheCroatiancasestudiesdrewoninputsfromJosipAtalić(SeniorSeismicEngineer),MartaŠavorNovak(SeniorSeismicEngineer),MajaBaniček(SeismicEngineer),MarioUroš(SeniorSeismicEngineer),NikaRakas(SeismicEngineer),IvanKosalec(SeismicEngineer),KrunoslavKatic(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementExpert),andAdamMcAllister(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementExpert).TheRomaniancasestudybenefitedfrominputsfromAndaAnica(DisasterRiskManagementAnalyst),PaoloAvner(SeniorEconomist),BramkaJafino(Economist),JanaFranziskaLemke(EnvironmentalExpert),AlanO’Connor(SeniorMulti-HazardEngineer),DanielPele(SeniorEconomist),JunRentschler(SeniorEconomist),andMikhailSirenko(HeatExpert).ThePortugalcasestudydrewoninputsfromMiguelAlmeida(SeniorWildfireExpert),PedroManuelPintoDosSantos(EnvironmentalExpert),LuisMarioRibero(WildfireExpert),ZahraaSaiyed(SeniorEarthquakeEngineer),andDomingosViegas(SeniorWildfireExpert). ThereportalsobenefitedfromcommentsandguidancefromAlannaSimpson(LeadDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist),HenrikeBrecht(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist),BrendanJongman(SeniorDisasterRiskManagementSpecialist),andBorisTonVanZanten(DisasterRiskManagementSpecialist). Thereportdrewonconsultationswithcivilprotectionagencies,inst