中国养老行业未来报告

医康养一体化 2023.12 目录 一、引言与研究背景.........................................................................................6（一）引言.................................................................................................6（二）研究背景.........................................................................................61.养老产业概述..................................................................................62.养老产业的重要性..........................................................................73.养老产业发展机遇..........................................................................7二、养老市场分析.............................................................................................9（一）人口结构变迁与老龄化.................................................................91.中国人口年龄结构..........................................................................92.中国老年人数量及占比................................................................103.中国人口老龄化趋势及特点分析................................................11（二）日益庞大的养老需求与面临的挑战...........................................121.高龄化、空巢化问题日益突出....................................................122.少子化和长寿趋势将使得老龄化持续加深................................133.未富先老........................................................................................134.养老金整体储备不足、区域差距加大、市场化程度较低........13（三）中国养老政策与法规的演变.......................................................14三、国外养老模式...........................................................................................16（一）养老模式的全球变迁——养老目的之转变...............................17（二）国外养老服务的主要参与者和运营模式...................................171.养老服务的主要参与者................................................................172.国外养老服务的运营模式............................................................18（三）荷兰、日本和澳大利亚的成熟养老模式...................................191.荷兰的养老发展状况....................................................................212.日本的养老发展状况....................................................................223.澳大利亚的养老状况....................................................................24（四）国外成功经验对我国养老产业发展的启示...............................25四、中国养老市场变迁...................................................................................26（一）养老发展的历程与未来...............................................................26（二）中国养老模式结构.......................................................................281.中国养老模式概述........................................................................282.机构养老........................................................................................293.居家养老........................................................................................304.社区养老........................................................................................315.其他养老模式................................................................................32（三）面临的问题与挑战.......................................................................331.养老产业发展面临体制性和观念性的障碍................................332.供需失衡，养老服务供给不足....................................................333.结构不合理，养老服务质量参差不齐........................................344.制度不健全，养老服务标准不统一............................................345.养老保险三支柱结构失衡，“一支独大”问题突出................346.老年人力资源开发不足，人才队伍“三高三低”....................35 五、长三角养老行业的发展...........................................................................35（一）上海及周边地区的养老产业优势...............................................351.市场规模大....................................................................................352.经济实力强....................................................................................373.医疗资源丰富................................................................................374.健全的基础设施............................................................................375.养老产业蓬勃发展........................................................................386.产业聚集与资源的优化配置........................................................38（二）国际化合作给养老市场带来的机遇...........................................391.跨国投资和合作............................................................................392.先进技术和管理经验引进............................................................393.促进人才开发与培养....................................................................404.提升养老服务品质，促进文化交流............................................40（三）养老服务的参与者模式分析.......................................................401.开发商模式——绿地集团............................................................402.运营商模式——联实集团............................................................413.保险公司模式——泰康集团........................................................424.政府主导模式................................................................................43（四）政府对于养老产业的支持和优惠政策.......................................45六、投资与商业机会.......................................................................................45（一）CCRC商业模式............................................................................451.CCRC养老社区模式.......................................................................462.C