商品期权市场策略日报

OptionMarketStrategyReport 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 要点： 作者：金融衍生品研究中心牛秋乐执业编号：F0268914(从业)Z0002616(投资咨询)联系方式：010-68578820/niuqiule@foundersc.com 【行情复盘】 节前商品期权各标的整体波动趋缓，过节效应明显，碳酸锂和锰硅则延续高波动。期权市场方面，商品期权成交量整体出现上升。目前苯乙烯期权、花生期权、铁矿石期权、纯碱期权、螺纹期权等认沽合约成交最为活跃,而PVC期权、碳酸锂期权、工业硅期权、橡胶期权、聚丙烯期权等则在认购期权上交投更为积极。在持仓PCR方面,铁矿石期权、豆油期权、纯碱期权、铜期权、黄金期权等处于高位,碳酸锂期权、PVC期权、烧碱期权、工业硅期权、橡胶期权等期权品种则处于相对低位。 作者：金融衍生品研究中心冯世佃执业编号：F3049858(从业)Z0015710(投资咨询)联系方式：fengshidian@foundersc.com 【交易策略】 成文时间：2024年5月5日星期日 近期大宗商品市场波动剧烈，预计未来节后将延续。此外，近十年来，五一后大宗商品整体表现偏空，5月也下跌居多，建议近期涨幅较大的品种高位要注意盈利保护。 多头趋势品种:铝、豆二、铜、纯碱、硅铁、锰硅、锌 空头趋势品种:棉花、白糖 高波动品种有：锰硅、工业硅、锌、碳酸锂、硅铁、烧碱、黄金、白银、铜、白糖 更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 目录 一、豆粕期权(M).............................................................................................................................................2二、白糖期权(SR).............................................................................................................................................6三、铜期权(CU)..............................................................................................................................................10四、玉米期权(C).............................................................................................................................................14五、棉花期权(CF)...........................................................................................................................................18六、橡胶期权(RU)..........................................................................................................................................22七、铁矿石期权(I)..........................................................................................................................................26八、PTA期权(TA)...........................................................................................................................................30九、甲醇期权(MA).........................................................................................................................................34十、黄金期权(AU)..........................................................................................................................................38十一、菜籽粕期权(RM).................................................................................................................................42十二、聚丙烯期权(PP)...................................................................................................................................46十三、塑料期权(L).........................................................................................................................................50十四、PVC期权(V).........................................................................................................................................54十五、铝期权(AL)...........................................................................................................................................58十六、锌期权(ZN)..........................................................................................................................................62十七、棕榈油期权(P).....................................................................................................................................66十八、原油期权(SC).......................................................................................................................................70十九、豆一期权(A)........................................................................................................................................74二十、豆二期权(B).........................................................................................................................................78二十一、豆油期权(Y).....................................................................................................................................82二十二、花生期权(PK)...................................................................................................................................86 二十三、菜油期权(OI)...................................................................................................................................90二十四、工业硅期权(SI)................................................................................................................................94二十五、白银期权(AG)..................................................................................................................................98二十六、螺纹期权(RB)................................................................................................................................102二十七、乙二醇期权(EG)............................................................................................................................106二十八、苯乙烯期权(EB).............................................................................................................................110二十九、碳酸锂期权(LC).............................................................................................................................114三十、合成橡胶期权(BR)..................................................