人民币汇率周报：仍待中间价进一步指引

4 29 I2024 10CPI 20111290 PCE FOMC 7.180-7.280 7.20 Z0017101 1..........................................................................................1 1.1....................................................................................1 1.2.................................................................................2 1.2.1...................................................................................................2 1.2.2...................................................................................................3 1.2.3...................................................................................................3 2.................................................................................................4 2.1-........................................................................4 2.2.............................................................................4 2.2.1............................................................................................4 2.2.2............................................................................................5 2.2.3........................................................................................6 2.2.4........................................................................................7 2.3........................................................................................8 2.3.1.........................................................................8 2.3.2......................................................................9 3........................................................................................10 3.1.......................................................................10 3.2..........................................................................................12 3.3................................................................13 .................................................................................................15 ........................................................................................................16 ……………………………………………………………………………….17 ................................................................................................................18 ............................................................................................................18 1.1.1 ..................................................................................................1 1.1.12024422426.2 1.1.2 .....................................................................2 2.1.1 ...............................................................................................4 2.2.1 ..........................................................4 2.2.2 ..............................................................4 2.2.3 ..........................................................5 2.2.4 ................................................................................5 2.2.5 % ..............................................................6 2.2.6 .....................................................................7 2.2.7 NDF USDCNH .........................................................................8 2.2.8 USDCNY 25Delta %..........................8 2.3.1 ...............................................8 2.3.2 .........................................................................8 2.3.3 ...............................................9 2.3.4 .........................................................................9 3.3.1 2024.4.22-4.28 ................................13 1 .................................15 2 % ..................................................................16 3 ...................................................17 4 Shibor %............................................................................17 5 SOFR % .............................................................................17 6%.................................................................................18 7....................................................................................18 1. ( BIS 7.1046 7.1059 7.1043 7.1056 0.014% USDCNY7.2401 7.2471 7.2436 7.2463 0.086% USDCNH7.2558 7.2663 7.2525 7.2609 0.070% 154.5454 157.6240 154.7856 157.6240 1.992% 1.0655 1.0721 1.0647 1.0687 0.295% 1.2397 1.2492 1.2340 1.2472 0.600% 106.1126 106.1388 105.5772 106.0848 -0.026% CFETS100.73 —— —— 100.40 -0.328% 106.22 —— —— 106.01 -0.198% 94.99 —— —— 94.72 -0.284% 1.1 2024422426 42616:30 CFETSBISSDR 1.1.1 ) ( SDR iFinD ) PMI 1.1.12024422 426 USDCNHUSDCNY Bloomberg 1.1.2 7.30108.00 7.25 107.00 106.00 105.00 7.20 104.00 7.15 7.10 103.00 102.00 101.00 100.00 7.05 2023-12-292024-01-292024-02-292024-03-31 99.00 : iFinD 1.2 1.2.1 202425 2 322 322 7.10 322 7.10-7.30 7.10 3227.10 416 7.10 4167.10 PCE 4 PMI 12 52.1 49.9 PMI51.7 PMI Markit52 PMI PMI 51.9 50.9 50.9 52 2023 52 PMI 4 52.954.9 PMI PMI 4MarkitPMI 4 PMI PMI 7.20 7.180-7.280 FOMC 1