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美元指数或将坐上火箭?

2024-04-17周骥南华期货y***
美元指数或将坐上火箭?

10CPI 2024 2024 20111290 2024 2024 2024 2 Z0017101 I2024 4 17 1...................................................................................1 1.1.............................................................................................1 1.2.............................................................................................1 2............................2 1. ...........................................................................................................2 2............................8 3.2024 ...................................................................................................11 3....................................................14 1.1.1 ..................................................................1 2.1.1 WEI %..............................2 2.1.2: 3 FOMC ........3 2.1.3 GDP %.................................................3 2.1.4 .................................4 2.1.5 %.......................................................5 2.1.6 2024 3 30.3......................6 2.1.7 2024 3 3.8% ......................................................6 2.1.8 ...............................................6 2.1.9 2024 2 5.3%% ....................................7 2.1.10 .............................................7 2.1.11 3 .........................................................8 2.1.12 CPI CPI % .......................................................9 2.1.13 CPI CPI % .......................................................9 2.1.14 3 CPI .......................................................................9 2.1.15 1990 CPI% ...............................................................................................................................10 2.1.161990PCE% 2.1.17 ...............................................................................................................................10 %11 2.1.18EURUSD25Delta ......................................................................................................12 2.1.19 20243......................................13 3.1.1 PMI %................................................14 3.1.2IMF15 I2024417 1. 1.1 2024 2024 2024 2024 1.1.1 2024 2 1.2 2. 1. GDP 2.1% 2.1.1 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 Bloomberg 2022/5/28 2022/6/28 2022/7/28 3 2022/8/28 2022/9/28 FOMC WEI 2022/10/28 2022/11/28 2022/12/28 2023/1/28 2023/2/28 2023/3/31 2024 2024 WEI 2023/4/30 2023/5/31 GDP 2023/6/30 % 2023/7/31 1.5 2023/8/31 2023/9/30 1.5% 2023/10/31 I2024 2023/11/30 2023/12/31 4 2024/1/31 1.4% 2024/2/29 17 2 2024/3/31 FED 2.1.3 GDP % 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 -1.00 -2.00 -3.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 I2024417 2.1.2: 3FOMC 2023 GDP 2023 GDP 2.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.79% 3 : : :: :GDP:2012 iFinD 2010-03 2.1.4 24000.00 23000.00 22000.00 21000.00 20000.00 19000.00 18000.00 17000.00 16000.00 15000.00 iFinD 2010-10 :GDP: 2011-05 ( 2011-12 :GDP: 2023 2012-07 2013-02 : 2013-09 2014-04 : 2014-11 : 2015-06 2016-01 : : 2016-08 2017-03 : : 2017-10 2018-05 : 2018-12 2019-07 2020-02 2020-09 I 2021-04 2024 2021-11 ) 2022-06 2023-01 4 17 4 2023-08 I2024417 2.1.5 % 1.80 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 -0.20 -0.40 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2023Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 5 3 3 3 30.3 21.4 3 :: :: : iFinD 84% 19 2 1 1-2 2.2 22.925.6 7.00 6.50 6.00 6.00 5.50 5.00 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 iFinD 2 2021-03 2021-07 2021-11 2022-03 % 2022-07 5.3% 2022-11 % 2023-03 2023-07 2023-11 63.00 62.80 62.60 62.40 62.20 62.00 61.80 61.60 61.40 61.20 61.00 2024-03 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 iFinD 2020-10 2021-02 2021-06 2021-10 2022-02 2022-06 2022-10 2023-02 % 2023-06 2024 2023-10 6 2024-02 2011-11 2.1.6 2024 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 -500 -1,000 iFinD 3 3.8% 2.1.7 2024 2012-06 3 3 2013-01 2013-08 2021 3.8% 2014-03 2014-10 2015-05 6 2015-12 2016-07 2017-02 30.3 2017-09 2018-04 2.1.8 2018-11 2019-06 2020-01 2020-08 0.3% 2021-03 2021-10 2022-05 I 2022-12 2024 2023-07 417 160,000 155,000 150,000 145,000 140,000 135,000 130,000 2024-02 / 2.1.920242 5.3%% 100.008.00 80.00 7.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00 -20.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2017-01 2017-05 2017-09 2018-01 2018-05 2018-09 2019-01 2019-05 2019-09 2020-01 2020-05 2020-09 2021-01 2021-05 2021-09 2022-01 2022-05 2022-09 2023-01 2023-05 2023-09 2024-01 -40.002.00 : : : : : :: iFinD 2.1.10 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2020/2/12021/2/12022/2/12023/2/12024/2/1 UnitedStatesOverallPostingsIndeedJobPostings Bloomberg 2024-032024-02 2.1.113 303 100.00 270 33 71 23. 43 63 8 9 2.97 10 -1 13 4.29 11 2 49 16.17 42 7 232 76.57 207 25 42 13.86 17 25 3 0.99 1 2 39 12.87 26 13 0 0.00 -10 10 4 1.32 -3 7 6.5 2.15 -1.9 8.4 -4 -1.32 -7 3 190 62.71 190 0 8.5 2.81 -2.9 11.4 17.6 5.81 23 -5.4 1.2 0.40 22.5 -21.3 -0.4 -0.13 3.1 -3.5 0 0.00 -3 3 3 0.99 -6 9 7 2.31 17 -10 88 29.04 82 6 81.3 26.83 85.4 -4.1 49 16.17 43 6 16 5.28