人民币汇率周报：人民币反转只欠美元西风?

I 10 16 2023 20111290 9 9CPI 9 12 11 1016 1020 7.247.35 Z0017101 1..........................................................................................1 1.1..............................................................................1 1.2..........................................................................2 1.2.1.............................................................................................2 1.2.2.............................................................................................4 1.2.3.............................................................................................4 2.................................................................................................5 2.1-..................................................................5 2.2.......................................................................5 2.2.1.....................................................................................5 2.2.2.....................................................................................6 2.2.3..................................................................................7 2.2.4..................................................................................8 2.3..................................................................................9 2.3.1...................................................................9 2.3.2.............................................................10 3.........................................................................................11 3.1..................................................................11 3.2...................................................................................14 3.3..........................................................15 ...........................................................................................18 ..................................................................................................19 ……………………………………………………………………………….20 .........................................................................................................21 ......................................................................................................21 1.1.1 ..................................................................................................1 1.1.12023109-1013..1 1.1.2 .....................................................................2 3 1.2.1 1.2.2136%USDCNH ..............................................................................................................................4 2.1.1 ...............................................................................................5 2.2.1 ..........................................................5 2.2.2 ..............................................................5 2.2.3 ..........................................................6 2.2.4 ................................................................................7 2.2.5..........................................................................8 2.2.6NDF9 2.2.7USDCNY25Delta%9 2.3.1 .............................................10 2.3.2 .......................................................................10 2.3.3 .............................................10 2.3.4 .......................................................................10 3.2.1 2023.10.16-10.20..............................................15 1.................................18 2%..................................................................19 3...................................................20 4Shibor%20 5SOFR %.............................................................................20 6%.................................................................................21 7....................................................................................21 1. 1.1 2023109-1013 SDR CFETS 101316:30 BIS 928 1.1.1 7.1798 7.1789 7.1775 7.1775 -0.032% USDCNY7.3002 7.3040 7.2922 7.3040 0.052% USDCNH7.3047 7.3059 7.2828 7.3059 0.016% 149.0899 149.7263 148.6195 149.6211 0.356% 1.0595 1.0618 1.0501 1.0501 -0.892% 1.2254 1.2303 1.2136 1.2136 -0.962% 106.1265 106.6995 105.7160 106.6995 0.540% CFETS99.55 —— —— 99.59 0.040% 104.14 —— —— 104.20 0.058% 94.26 —— —— 94.18 -0.085% 1.1.12023109-1013 ( BIS ) ( SDR iFinD ) USDCNHUSDCNY Bloomberg 1.1.2 7.40110.00 7.35 7.30 7.25 108.00 106.00 7.20104.00 7.15 7.10 7.05 102.00 100.00 7.00 2023-06-162023-07-162023-08-162023-09-16 98.00 : iFinD 1.2 1.2.1 9 9CPI 9 12 11 3.29 9FOMC71 2 7 9 CPI 3.7% 2488.79 4.771011 3727.22 2761 1838 0.06% 1 1.2.1 7000.003500.00 6000.003000.00 5000.002500.00 4000.002000.00 3000.001500.00 2000.001000.00 1000.00500.00 20136 2008 2015 9200910 2011 201210 8 2023 10 10 iFinD 106.8 0.000.00 101610207.247.35 1.2.213 6 % USDCNH 187.60 167.40 14 7.20 12 107.00 86.80 66.60 46.40 2 6.20 0 -26.00 -45.80 13 6USDCNH