能源展望报告（2023-2028）

© ACE 2024 Unless otherwise stated, this publication and materials featured herein are the property of the ASEAN Centrefor Energy (ACE), subject to copyright by ACE. Materials in this publication may be freely used, shared, copiedreproduced, printed and/or stored, provided that all such materials are clearly attributed to ACE. Materialscontained in this publication attributed to third parties may be subject to third-party copyright and separateterms of use and restrictions, including restrictions in relation to any commercial use. Published by: ASEAN Centre for EnergySoemantri Brodjonegoro II Building, 6thfl.Directorate General of ElectricityJl. HR. Rasuna Said Block X-2, Kav. 07-08Jakarta 12950, IndonesiaTel: (62-21) 527 9332 | Fax: (62-21) 527 9350E-mail: secretariat@aseanenergy.orgwww.aseanenergy.org Disclaimer This publication and the materials featured herein are provided “as is”. All reasonable precautions have been taken by the ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) to verify the reliabilityof the materials featured in this publication. Neither ACE nor any of its officials, consultants, data or otherthird-party content providers or licensors provides any warranty, including as to the accuracy, completeness,or fitness for a particular purpose or use of such materials, or regarding the non-infringement of third-partyrights, and they accept no responsibility or liability with regard to the use of this publication and the materialsfeatured therein. The information contained herein does not necessarily represent the views, opinions, or judgements of theAMS or of the individuals and institutions that contributed to this report, nor is it an endorsement of anyproject, product, or service provider. The designations employed and the presentation of materials herein donot imply the expression of any opinion on the part of ACE concerning the legal status of any region, country,territory, city, or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of frontiers or boundaries. REPORT CITATION ACE (2024). 8thASEAN Energy Outlook (AEO8). ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE), Jakarta. Available for downloadfromhttps://aseanenergy.org/. ISSN 2963-539X Volume 8, 2024 One Communityfor SustainableEnergy OUTLOOKth2023 - 20508 About ACE Established on 1 January 1999, the ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) is an intergovernmental organisation withinthe Association of Southeast Asian Nations’ (ASEAN) structure that represents the 10 ASEAN Member States’(AMS) interests in the energy sector. ACE supports the implementation of the ASEAN Plan of Action for EnergyCooperation (APAEC), a blueprint for better collaboration towards upgrading energy. The Centre is guided bya Governing Council composed of Senior Officials on Energy from each of the AMS and a representative fromthe ASEAN Secretariat as an ex-officio member. The three key roles of the ACE: •As a catalyst to unify and strengthen ASEAN energy cooperation and integration by implementingrelevant capacity-building programmes and projects to assist the AMS develop their energy sector.•As the ASEAN energy data centre and knowledge hub to provide a knowledge repository for the AMS.•As an ASEAN energy think tank to assist the AMS by identifying and surfacing innovative solutions forASEAN’s energy challenges on policies, legal and regulatory frameworks and technologies. Keeping the region’s energy security, affordability, and sustainability is a fundamental concern of the ASEANenergy sector. Hosted by the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia, ACE’s office is locatedin Jakarta, Indonesia. For more information, please visitaseanenergy.org. Acknowledgement The 8thASEAN Energy Outlook (AEO8) was developed by the ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE), incollaboration with national experts from ASEAN Member States (AMS) as part of the AEO8 WorkingGroup, and guided by the ASEAN Regional Energy Policy and Planning Sub-Sector Network (REPP-SSN). Support was provided by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) of Japanincluding through the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), the ASEANClimate Change and Energy Project Phase II (ACCEPT II), Energy Foundation China, the UnitedStates Agency for International Development (USAID) Southeast Asia Smart Power Program (SPP),and the Australian Government through Partnership for Infrastructure (P4I). Technical support wasprovided by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) and Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM). Overall guidance was provided by Nuki Agya Utama and Beni Suryadi. AEO8 development was led and managed by Rika Safrina, and supervised by Zulfikar Yurnaidi. Modelling work was conducted by the AEO Modelling Team: Michael Petalio (Lead Modeller),supported by Ambiyah Abdullah. The technical expertise in modelling was provided by JasonVeysey, Taylor Binnington, and Silvia Ulloa of the SEI; and Haslenda Hashim, Ho Wai Shin, and LimLek Keng of UTM. Data and information were collected primarily