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Renewable Energy Market Update 2021

AI智能总结

2020: Annual renewable capacity additions reached 280 GW, marking a 45% increase from 2019—highest since 1999.
2021 and 2022: Renewables are expected to account for 90% of new power capacity expansion globally, with an average of 270 GW and 280 GW becoming operational each year.
Solar PV: Annual additions will reach 162 GW by 2022, almost 50% higher than pre-pandemic levels in 2019.
Wind Capacity: Increased by 90% in 2020 to 114 GW, with growth still 50% higher than the 2017-2019 average.

China: Capacity additions will decelerate post-rush to meet subsidy phase-outs, but the rest of the world will compensate, maintaining the pace of renewables expansion.
Europe: Accelerating capacity growth due to further policy support and a booming corporate Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) market.
United States: More optimistic forecast due to federal tax credit extensions; new emissions reduction targets and the infrastructure bill could boost expansion after 2022.
India: Expected to set new records for renewables expansion in 2021 and 2022, though there is short-term forecast uncertainty due to the surge in COVID-19 cases.

Transport Biofuel: Rebounds to 2019 volumes in 2021 and expands by another 7% in 2022.
Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil (HVO): Expected to nearly double in the next two years, driven by clean fuel standards and policy support in the US.

Renewable Capacity Addition Changes (2019-2020):
- China: Over 80% increase in annual installations.
- United States: Wind developers rushed to complete projects before the production tax credit expired.
- Viet Nam: Phase-out of the feed-in tariff for solar PV projects led to a rush in installations.
Quarterly Renewable Capacity Additions (2019-2020):
- Q4 2020 saw almost 150 GW of new renewable capacity commissioned, more than double the Q4 2019 figure.

The exceptional level of renewable energy capacity additions in 2020 is expected to continue into 2021 and 2022, with renewables accounting for 90% of new power capacity expansion globally.
Solar PV and wind capacity are projected to set new records, with solar PV reaching 162 GW by 2022.
Regional expansions vary, with China and the United States showing strong growth, while Europe benefits from further policy support and corporate PPAs.
Biofuels, particularly HVO, are expected to see significant growth, driven by clean fuel standards and policy support.