Implementing Clean Energy Transitions

ImplementingCleanEnergyTransitions Focusonroadtransportinemergingeconomies INTERNATIONALENERGYAGENCY TheIEAexaminesthefullspectrum ofenergyissuesincludingoil,gasandcoalsupplyanddemand,renewableenergytechnologies,electricitymarkets,energyefficiency,accesstoenergy,demandsidemanagementandmuchmore.Throughitswork,theIEAadvocatespoliciesthatwillenhancethereliability,affordabilityandsustainabilityofenergyinits 31membercountries, 13associationcountriesandbeyond. Thispublicationandanymapincludedhereinarewithoutprejudicetothestatusoforsovereigntyoveranyterritory,tothedelimitationofinternationalfrontiersandboundariesandtothenameofanyterritory,cityorarea. Source:IEA. InternationalEnergyAgencyWebsite:www.iea.org IEAmembercountries: AustraliaAustriaBelgiumCanada CzechRepublicDenmarkEstonia FinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyJapanKoreaLithuania LuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNewZealandNorwayPolandPortugal SlovakRepublicSpain SwedenSwitzerlandRepublicofTürkiyeUnitedKingdomUnitedStates TheEuropeanCommissionalsoparticipatesintheworkoftheIEA IEAassociationcountries: ArgentinaBrazilChinaEgyptIndiaIndonesiaKenyaMoroccoSenegalSingapore SouthAfricaThailandUkraine IEA.CCBY4.0. Abstract Thisreportassessestheimpactoftheroadtransportsectoronenergydemand,CO2emissionsandairpollutioninseveralselectedmajoremergingeconomiesoverthecomingdecadesunderseveralIEAmodellingscenarios.MostnotablytheAnnouncedPledgesScenario(APS)aimstoshowtowhatextentannouncedambitionsandtargets,includingthemostrecentones,areonthepathtodeliveremissionsreductionsrequiredtoachievenetzeroemissionsby2050. BringingaboutaroadtransportdecarbonisationpathwayinlinewiththeAPSintheselectedmajoremergingeconomies-Brazil,People’sRepublicofChina,India,Indonesia,MexicoandSouthAfrica-willrequiresignificantenhancementofexistingpoliciesandtheintroductionofnewinnovativepoliciesandmeasuresineachofselectedcountries.Ourreportsetsoutsixpolicyareascriticaltotheachievementoftheroadtransporttransitionsandaseriesofrecommendationsforstrengtheningfinancingforthesector. Importantly,thereportprovidesdetailedreferencetoawiderangeofpolicymeasuresandgoodpracticealreadyinplaceinmanymajoremergingeconomieselsewheretofacilitateknowledgesharingamongcountries.ItalsoplacesaspecialemphasisontheroadtransportsectorsofIndiaandIndonesia.ThesecountriesareIEApartnersintheirrespectiveregionsandbenefitfromanenhancedprogrammeofwork. Acknowledgements ImplementingCleanEnergyTransitions:FocusonroadtransportinemergingeconomiesisareportpreparedbytheEnergyandEnvironmentDivisionoftheInternationalEnergyAgency(IEA).DavidFischer,ProjectCo-ordinatorandClimatePolicyAnalyst,andKieranMcNamara,ActingHeadoftheEnvironmentandClimateChangeUnit,ledandco-ordinatedthepublication. TheauthorsareDavidFischer,KieranMcNamara,GabrielSaive,XiushanChen,InsaHandschuch,BrittaLabuhn,TheresaGebhardtandBihterGülsoy.TomHowesandSaraMoarifprovidedvaluablefeedback,supportandoverallguidancetotheproject. ThereportbenefitedfromawealthofdataandinsightsprovidedfromacrosstheIEA,inparticulartheEnergyDemandOutlookDivision,theEnergyTechnologyPolicyDivision,theEnergySupplyandInvestmentOutlookDivision,theEnergyEfficiencyDivisionandtheRenewableEnergyDivision.TheauthorswouldliketothankespeciallythefollowingcurrentandformerIEAcolleagues:OskarasAlsauskas,StéphanieBouckaert,ElizabethConnelly,LauraCozzi,DavideD’Ambrosio,TanguydeBienassis,AraceliFernandezPales,EmmaGordon,TimurGuel,MathildeHuismans,MartinKueppers,ShaneMcDonagh,JeremyMoorhouse,LeonardoPaoli,ApostolosPetropoulos,RyszardPospiech,AlisonPridmore,AdityaRamjiandJacobTeter. TheauthorswouldalsoliketothanktheInternationalInstituteforAppliedSystemsAnalysis,inparticularJensBorken-Kleefeld,forprovidingdataonairqualityandhealthco-benefitsofroadtransporttransitions. SincerethanksalsotoJean-ChristianBrunkeforexpertadviceandfeedbackonthemarginalabatementcostcurves. ValuablecontributionstoandfeedbackonthereportwerealsoprovidedbyotherIEAcolleagues:EdithBayer,AlejandraBernal,NatalieKauf,RebeccaMcKimm,HugoSalamancaandCorneliaSchenk. IEA.CCBY4.0. Theauthorsarealsogratefulforvaluablecommentsandfeedbackfromexternalexperts,including:KoichiroAikawa(Honda),PierpaoloCazzola(UniversityofCalifornia,Davis),NikolasHill(Ricardo),WangMeng(Sina),HidenoriMoriya(Toyota),AndiNovianto(GovernmentofIndonesia),KentaroOe(JapanMinistryofForeignAffairs),RizkyAdityaPutra(ASEANCentreforEnergy),SaonRay(IndianCouncilforResearchonInternationalEconomicRelations),Simon IEA.CCBY4.0. Roberts(C40Cities),YinLe(EnergyFoundationChina)andLuluXue(WorldResourcesInstitute). SincerethanksgotoCarenBrown,whoeditedthereport.TheauthorswouldalsoliketothanktheIEACommunicationsandDigitalOffice,particularlyCurtisBrainard,JonCuster,AstridDumond,IsabelleNonain-Semelin,ClaraVallois,GregoryViscusi,andThereseWalsh,forprovidingvaluableeditorialandpublishingsupport. ThisanalysiswascarriedoutaspartoftheIEACleanEnergyTransitionsProgramme. Theindividualsandorganisationsthatcontributedtothisreportarenotresponsibleforanyopinionorjudgementitcontains.Anyerrororomissionisthesolere