The Future of Heat Pumps in China

INTERNATIONAL ENERGYAGENCY The IEA examines thefull spectrumof energy issuesincluding oil, gas andcoal supply anddemand, renewableenergy technologies,electricity markets,energy efficiency,access to energy,demand sidemanagement andmuch more. Throughits work, the IEAadvocates policies thatwill enhance thereliability, affordabilityand sustainability ofenergy in its31member countries,13associationcountries and beyond. IEA membercountries: IEA associationcountries: AustraliaAustriaBelgiumCanadaCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyJapanKoreaLithuaniaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSlovak RepublicSpainSwedenSwitzerlandRepublic of TürkiyeUnited KingdomUnited States ArgentinaBrazilChinaEgyptIndiaIndonesiaKenyaMoroccoSenegalSingaporeSouth AfricaThailandUkraine This publication and anymap included herein arewithout prejudice to thestatus of or sovereignty overany territory, to thedelimitation of internationalfrontiers and boundaries andto the name of any territory,city or area. The EuropeanCommission alsoparticipates in thework of the IEA Revised versions, April 2024andAugust 2024Information notice found at:www.iea.org/corrections Source: IEA.International Energy AgencyWebsite: www.iea.org The Tsinghua UniversityBuilding EnergyResearch Center BERC is involved in internationalexchange and co‐operation projects,including its ongoing collaboration withthe International Energy Agency. BERCis also responsible for the Annual Reporton China Building Energy Efficiency (inChinese), which has been publishedannually since 2007, and China BuildingEnergy Use and Emission Yearbook (inEnglish), which has been publishedannually since 2016. The Tsinghua University Building EnergyResearch Center (BERC) was created in2005. The mission of BERC is devotedto the development of energy-efficientand environmentally responsiblebuildings in China, in accordance withnational and international energy andenvironmental targets, includingbuildings research and innovation. The principal research activitieswithin BERC include: The latest annual report, entitledDecarbonize Urban Heating System-China Building Energy and EmissionYearbook 2023 (in English), can bedownloaded free from: Assessment of the current buildingsstatus in China and strategic outlookson buildings energy consumption andefficiency.Occupant behaviour and buildingssimulation research.Research and development (R&D) ofinnovative high‐efficiency buildingstechnology and systems.Energy efficiency application researchon sub-sectors including: spaceheating in Northern China; ruralresidential buildings and urbanresidential buildings; and public andcommercial buildings. https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-981-99-7875-5. Acknowledgements, contributorsand credits The Future of Heat Pumps in China report was prepared by the InternationalEnergy Agency (IEA) and the Tsinghua University Building Energy ResearchCenter (BERC). The report was designed and directed by Timur Gül, IEA ChiefEnergy Technology Officer, and Professor Yi Jiang, Director of the TsinghuaUniversity BERC. Araceli Fernandez, Head of the Technology Innovation Unit,Professor Jianjun Xia, Deputy Director of the Tsinghua University BERC, andShan Hu provided strategic guidance throughout the development of the project.Chiara Delmastro and Rafael Martinez Gordon co-ordinated the analysis andproduction of the report and were the lead authors. Conor Gask (policy) and Yannick Monschauer (heat pump benefits) led topicalelements of the report. Other principal authors and contributors from the IEA were(in alphabetical order): Clara Camarasa (policy), Jianlan Dou (affordability, supplychains), Alexandre Gouy (industrial applications), Anthony Vautrin (electricitysystems flexibility), Fabian Voswinkel (refrigerants, industrial applications), BiqingYang (stakeholder engagement, policy). Valuable contributions were made byCaleigh Andrews, Francois Briens, Daniel Crow, Roland Gladushenko, Will Hall,KonstantinaKalogianni,Jack Lynch,Vincent Minier,Aloys Nghiem,CorineNsangwe Businge, Camille Paillard, Jacopo Pasqualotto, Richard Simon, JacquesWarichet. The principal Tsinghua University BERC contributors were (in alphabetical order):Jiewen Deng, Lin Fu, Xiaofeng Li, Zhaoyang Liu, Wenxing Shi, Baolong Wang,Qingpeng Wei, Yanting Wu, Xiaoyun Xie, Tianhao Xu, Xudong Yang, Ziyi Yang,Yulin Zhu. Special thanks to Hengyi Zhao (China Heat Pumps Alliance) and to ChinaIOL fortheir support on data collection and valuable insights. At the IEA, valuable insights and feedback were provided by Stephanie Bouckaert(Headof Demand Sectors Unit),Laura Cozzi(Director of Sustainability,Technology and Outlooks), Dennis Hesseling (Head of Gas, Coal and PowerMarkets Division), Rebecca McKimm (China Desk Manager), Brian Motherway(Head Energy Efficiency and Inclusive Transitions Office), Melanie Slade (SeniorProgramme Manager) and Dan Wetzel (Head of Tracking Sustainable TransitionsUnit).