人民币汇率周报：降准之后，人民币汇率剑指何方?

1 29 I2024 10CPI 20111290 12PCE 1 129-22 7.14-7.24 Z0017101 1..........................................................................................1 1.1..............................................................................1 1.2..........................................................................2 1.2.1.............................................................................................2 1.2.2.............................................................................................3 1.2.3.............................................................................................3 2.................................................................................................4 2.1-..................................................................4 2.2.......................................................................4 2.2.1.....................................................................................4 2.2.2.....................................................................................5 2.2.3..................................................................................6 2.2.4..................................................................................7 2.3..................................................................................8 2.3.1...................................................................8 2.3.2...............................................................8 3........................................................................................10 3.1..................................................................11 3.2...................................................................................14 3.3..........................................................16 ...........................................................................................18 ..................................................................................................19 ……………………………………………………………………………….20 .........................................................................................................21 ......................................................................................................21 1.1.1 ..................................................................................................1 1.1.12024122126.2 1.1.2 .....................................................................2 2.1.1 ...............................................................................................4 2.2.1 ..........................................................4 2.2.2 ..............................................................4 2.2.3 ..........................................................5 2.2.4 ................................................................................5 2.2.5 % ..............................................................6 2.2.6 .....................................................................7 2.2.7 NDF USDCNH .........................................................................7 2.2.8 USDCNY 25Delta %............................7 2.3.1 ...............................................8 2.3.2 .........................................................................8 2.3.3 ...............................................9 2.3.4 .........................................................................9 3.3.1 2024.1.29-2.2 ..................................16 1 .................................18 2 % ..................................................................19 3 ...................................................20 4 Shibor % ............................................................................20 5 SOFR % .............................................................................20 6%.................................................................................21 7....................................................................................21 1. ( BIS 7.1167 7.1117 7.1044 7.1074 -0.131% USDCNY7.1938 7.1968 7.1641 7.1808 -0.181% USDCNH7.2111 7.2025 7.1618 7.1836 -0.381% 148.2116 148.5612 147.3132 147.9437 -0.181% 1.0887 1.0901 1.0829 1.0866 -0.191% 1.2675 1.2751 1.2658 1.2718 0.338% 103.2362 103.5491 103.2583 103.4622 0.219% CFETS98.76 —— —— 98.93 0.172% 103.89 —— —— 104.10 0.202% 93.72 —— —— 93.90 0.192% 1.1 2024122 126 CFETSBISSDR 12616:30 1.1.1 ) ( SDR iFinD ) 2023GDP 1PMI50 2023 12PCE 1.1.12024122 126 USDCNHUSDCNY Bloomberg 1.1.2 7.40 7.35 109.00 7.30 107.00 7.25 105.00 7.20 7.15 7.10 103.00 101.00 7.05 2023-09-292023-10-292023-11-292023-12-29 99.00 : iFinD 1.2 1 1.2.1 2 2 3 129-22 7.14-7.24 1.2.2 1.2.3 2. - 2.1 126 93 7.1074 2.1.1 1 2 -933447-555-2985 RefinitivBloomberg 2.2.1 2.2.2 1173504-359-3028 0.100 0.050 0.000 (0.050) (0.100) (0.150) (0.200) 0.16000 0.14000 0.12000 0.10000 0.08000 0.06000 0.04000 0.02000 0.00000 (0.02000) 7.40 7.35 7.30 7.25 7.20 7.15 7.10 7.05 7.00 6.95 6.90 0.